Revisiting the fiscal theory of sovereign risk from a DSGE viewpoint
Eiji Okano (),
Kazuyuki Inagaki and
Masataka Eguchi
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2024, vol. 91, issue C
Abstract:
In this study, we revisit Uribe’s (2006) “fiscal theory of sovereign risk”, which suggests a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and suppressing default. Unlike Uribe (2006), we develop a class of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models in which the production is endogenous with nominal rigidities but whereby the default mechanism follows Uribe (2006). This marginal change generates the New Keynesian Phillips curve that connects inflation and the output gap. Under the optimal monetary and fiscal (OMF) policy, the nominal interest rate and tax rate are both used as policy instruments. A change in the tax rate stabilizes inflation by stabilizing the output gap. Furthermore, this change in the tax rate stabilizes fiscal surplus. Therefore, a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and suppressing default is mitigated by the OMF policy. Note that the OMF policy is a de facto inflation stabilization policy; thus, the tax rate is viewed as a policy instrument for stabilizing inflation.
Keywords: Sovereign risk; Optimal monetary policy; Fiscal theory of the price level (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000192
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
Working Paper: Revisiting the fiscal theory of sovereign risk from a DSGE viewpoint (2019) 
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:intfin:v:91:y:2024:i:c:s1042443124000192
DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101953
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money is currently edited by I. Mathur and C. J. Neely
More articles in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().