Voss wins the Presidency! A commentary essay on "Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method"

Kevin E. Voss

Journal of Business Research, 2011, vol. 64, issue 4, 345-347

Abstract: This comment uses the Democratic Party's nomination race from the 1924 U.S. Presidential election to develop a better understanding of Armstrong and Graefe's (2010) Biographical Index. Well-established causal indicators are necessary before actions are taken to nominate, select, or improve the standing of candidates running for election. Forecasting devices such as a Biographical Index cannot eliminate from consideration unworthy candidates. Nonetheless, the Armstrong and Graefe scale appears to have the smallest error of competing forecasting devices.

Keywords: Forecasting; Biographical; Index; Elections; Democratic; Party; William; Gibbs; McAdoo (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:64:y:2011:i:4:p:345-347

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