Spreading of an infectious disease between different locations

Alessio Muscillo, Paolo Pin and Tiziano Razzolini ()

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021, vol. 183, issue C, 508-532

Abstract: The endogenous adaptation of economic agents, that may adjust their trade network in response to infection rates, can have the perverse effect of increasing the overall systemic infectiveness of a disease. We study a dynamical model over two geographically distinct but interacting markets, to better understand theoretically the mechanism at play. We also discuss analogies with the 2018 African Swine Fever, and provide empirical motivation from the Italian National Bovine Database, for the period 2006–2013.

Keywords: Infectious disease; Italian National Bovine Database; Endogenous spreading; Exogenous shocks; Islands model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 D83 I12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Working Paper: Spreading of an infectious disease between different locations (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:183:y:2021:i:c:p:508-532

DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.01.004

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