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Political Turnover Negatively Affects the Quality of Public Services: A Replication

Sebastian Gallegos

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2023, vol. 212, issue C, 796-818

Abstract: The politically motivated replacement in local governments is a pervasive fact in our modern democracies. Whether it has causal effects on the quality of public services, such as education, is a critical question and yet understudied. This paper uses a regression discontinuity design (RDD) for close elections to replicate Akthari, Moreira and Trucco (2022) who find negative effects on the quality of public education in Brazil (.05-.08 standard deviations of lower test scores). I first reproduce these main results, finding minor computational differences that have no effect on the conclusions. I also show that the estimates for Brazil are in general robust to different specifications following Brodeur, Cook and Heyes (2020). Finally, I implement the same RDD framework now applied to Chilean administrative records to find null effects on test scores. Taken together, these results suggest that political turnover has weakly negative effects on service quality.

Keywords: Replication; Robustness; Political turnover; Regression discontinuity; Quality of public services (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 D73 H75 H76 J45 O17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:212:y:2023:i:c:p:796-818

DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2023.05.046

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