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Automation, education, and population: Dynamic effects in an OLG growth and fertility model

Catarina Peralta and Pedro Gil

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2025, vol. 234, issue C

Abstract: We address two main structural changes occurring in developed countries: the rise of automation and population ageing. Using an R&D-based growth model under an OLG framework, we consider education and fertility decisions, as well as automation in the production process, to explore the interplay between population ageing and automation. The results reveal dynamics that align with the US trends from 1970 to 2021. In particular, in response to increasing real wages, the model captures a decline in the fertility rate for low-skilled workers but an increase for high-skilled workers, consistent with observed data. We also analyze the model’s response to shocks related to automation and demographics (fertility vs. longevity), as well as policy instruments designed to reduce inequality.

Keywords: Ageing; Automation; Economic growth; Education; Endogenous fertility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J23 J24 O3 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Working Paper: Automation, Education, and Population: Dynamic Effects in an OLG Growth and Fertility Model (2021) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:234:y:2025:i:c:s0167268125001222

DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107002

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