Economics at your fingertips  

Stock returns and interest rates around the World: A panel data approach

Tibebe A. Assefa, Omar Esqueda and Andre Mollick ()

Journal of Economics and Business, 2017, vol. 89, issue C, 20-35

Abstract: We examine quarterly stock returns of 21 developed and 19 developing economies from 1999 to 2013. Over this period, mean quarterly stock returns of 1.188% in developed economies contrast to 4.220% in developing economies. Economic growth has been substantially lower and interest rates have fallen (risen) in developed (developing) economies. Using dynamic panels, we find statistically significant negative effects of interest rates on stock returns in the developed countries, consistent with the expected cash flow hypothesis. In the developing markets, however, the world market portfolio is the sole determinant of stock returns. The contrasting effect of interest rates change on stock returns can be partially attributed to differing monetary policies and to the more mature capital markets inherent in developed economies.

Keywords: Dynamic panels; Emerging markets; Interest rates; Monetary policy; Stock returns (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G15 F30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2016.10.001

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Economics and Business is currently edited by Kenneth J. Kopecky

More articles in Journal of Economics and Business from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Haili He ().

Page updated 2020-08-18
Handle: RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:89:y:2017:i:c:p:20-35