Impacts of climate change on agriculture: Evidence from China

Shuai Chen, Xiaoguang Chen and Jintao Xu

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2016, vol. 76, issue C, 105-124

Abstract: To move China׳s climate policy forward, improved analyses of climate impacts on economic sectors using rigorous methodology and high quality data are called for. We develop an empirical framework, using fine-scale meteorological data, to estimate the link between corn and soybean yields and weather in China. We find that (i) there are nonlinear and inverted U-shaped relationships between crop yields and weather variables; (ii) global warming has caused an economic loss of about $820 million to China׳s corn and soybean sectors in the past decade; and (iii) corn and soybean yields are projected to decline by 3–12% and 7–19%, respectively, by 2100.

Keywords: Climate change; Agriculture; Temperature; Crop yields; Corn and soybeans; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q10 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (110)

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Working Paper: Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture: Evidence from China (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jeeman:v:76:y:2016:i:c:p:105-124

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2015.01.005

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