House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand
Robert Kirkby () and
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2018, vol. 56, issue C, 152-171
We analyse macroprudential and monetary policies and their interactions using an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model tailored to New Zealand. Our estimates show that monetary policy has large spillover effects on house prices, however it has not been a major driver of house prices in New Zealand which have instead been driven by sector-specific shocks. We consider macroprudential policies, including the loan-to-value restrictions that have been implemented in New Zealand. We find that loan-to-value restrictions reduce house prices with negligible effects on consumer prices, suggesting they can be used without derailing monetary policy. Efficient policy frontier analysis suggests macroprudential policy is a useful addition to monetary policy, and the two do not need to be coordinated. We estimate that the loan-to-value restrictions imposed in New Zealand in 2013 reduced house prices by 3.8% and that greater forward guidance on their duration would have made them more effective.
Keywords: Macroprudential policies; Housing; DSGE; Bayesian estimation; New Zealand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Working Paper: House Prices and Macroprudential Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of New Zealand (2017)
Working Paper: House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand (2017)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:56:y:2018:i:c:p:152-171
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Macroeconomics is currently edited by Douglas McMillin and Theodore Palivos
More articles in Journal of Macroeconomics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().