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Intergenerational redistribution in a pay-as-you-go pension system

Jacob Lundberg

The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 2024, vol. 29, issue C

Abstract: This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the generational wealth transfer within Sweden’s public pay-as-you-go pension system introduced in 1960. Using extensive administrative registers, the paper quantifies the contributions made and benefits received by each birth cohort. The findings reveal a substantial fiscal imbalance favouring the initial generation (born in the early 20th century), who received a net gain of $1.5 trillion in today’s present value, equivalent to up to 13% of their discounted lifetime income. This windfall for the initial generation resulted in an implicit tax on current workers, accounting for 70% of their pension contributions. However, the study also highlights the effectiveness of Sweden’s 1999 notional defined-contribution pension reform in stabilizing this imbalance. Unlike many international counterparts, Sweden’s reformed system successfully mitigates further generational inequities in the pension system.

Keywords: Pensions; Social security; Pay-as-you-go; Generational equity; Generational accounting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H55 N34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:joecag:v:29:y:2024:i:c:s2212828x24000343

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100534

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