 Assessment of model uncertainty in destinations and travel forecasts of models of complex spatial shopping behaviourSoora Rasouli and Harry Timmermans Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 2013, vol. 20, issue 2, 139-146 Abstract: This paper reports the results of an analysis of model uncertainty in the context of shopping behaviour. This analysis is positioned in a discussion on the evolution of models of spatial shopping behaviour. For different generations of shopping models, the potential of uncertainty analysis is discussed. The actual analysis is based on an application of the Albatross model to the city of Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Characteristic of this model is that shopping trips are embedded in the prediction of daily more comprehensive activity-travel patterns, adding complexity and realism to traditional models of spatial shopping behaviour, such as the Huff and spatial interaction model. Results show that overall the uncertainty associated with the aggregate outcomes of the model is small. It is higher for the total number of visits to selected shopping areas. Keywords: Uncertainty analysis; Shopping behaviour; Albatross; Space-time behaviour; Coefficient of variation (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:joreco:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:139-146 DOI: 10.1016/j.jretconser.2012.05.001 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services is currently edited by Harry Timmermans More articles in Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services from Elsevier |
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