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Costs and benefits of trade shocks: Evidence from Chilean local labor markets

Andrés César, Guillermo Falcone and Leonardo Gasparini

Labour Economics, 2021, vol. 73, issue C

Abstract: We study Chile’s labor market responses to trade shocks during 1996–2006, exploiting spatial and time variations in trade exposure arising from initial differences in industry specialization across local labor markets and the evolution of shocks across industries. We take advantage of China’s supply and demand’s worldwide shocks to instrument for Chinese import competition and demand for Chilean exports. Our main finding is that increasing manufacturing import competition implied a significant rise in labor informality in more exposed local markets, especially among young and unskilled workers. These groups also suffered significant relative wage losses. Meanwhile, locations that benefited most from the increased demand for primary products experienced a relative increase in employment, particularly among young individuals, and reallocation from self-employment towards salaried jobs in the formal sector, along with relative wage gains among old-age workers. Interestingly, these areas experienced a smaller increase in tertiary education enrollment rates than less exposed areas.

Keywords: Trade shocks; Local labor markets; Employment; Informality; Chile (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F16 J23 J31 L60 O17 Q02 R12 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:labeco:v:73:y:2021:i:c:s092753712100110x

DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2021.102075

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