Regular and chaotic dynamics in a 2D discontinuous financial market model with heterogeneous traders

Iryna Sushko and Fabio Tramontana

Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), 2025, vol. 230, issue C, 386-399

Abstract: We develop a financial market model where three types of traders operate simultaneously: fundamentalists and chartists of two types, namely, trend followers and contrarians. The dynamics of this model is described by a two-dimensional discontinuous map defined by two linear functions, where one acts in the partition between two (parallel) discontinuity lines and the other one acts outside this partition. Our analysis shows that despite the linearity of the map components, its dynamics can be quite complex, with various, possibly coexisting attracting cycles and chaotic attractors. As a first step towards the understanding how the overall bifurcation structure observed in the parameter space of the map is organized, we obtain analytically the boundaries of periodicity regions related to the simplest attracting period-n cycles, n≥3, with one point in the middle partition and n−1 points outside it. These boundaries can be related to border-collision bifurcations (when a point of the cycle collides with a discontinuity line) as well as to degenerate bifurcations (associated with eigenvalues on the unit circle). We show also some elements of period-adding and period-incrementing bifurcation structures for which the cycles mentioned above are basic. From an economic point of view, our study confirms that a fairly simple financial market model with heterogeneous agents is able to produce complicated boom-bust dynamics typical of real financial markets.

Keywords: Two-dimensional discontinuous map; Bifurcation structure of the parameter space; Border-collision bifurcations; Regular and chaotic attractors; Degenerate bifurcations; Financial market model with heterogeneous traders (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:matcom:v:230:y:2025:i:c:p:386-399

DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.01.021

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