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Optimal lottery

Charles Dennery and Alexis Direr

Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2014, vol. 55, issue C, 15-23

Abstract: This article proposes an equilibrium approach to lottery markets in which a firm designs an optimal lottery to rank-dependent expected utility (RDU) consumers. We show that a finite number of prizes cannot be optimal, unless implausible utility and probability weighting functions are assumed. We then investigate the conditions under which a probability density function can be optimal. With standard RDU preferences, this implies a discrete probability on the ticket price, and a continuous probability on prizes afterwards. Under some preferences consistent with experimental literature, the optimal lottery follows a power-law distribution, with a plausibly extremely high degree of prize skewness.

Keywords: Decision-making under risk; Lottery games; Firm behavior (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:mateco:v:55:y:2014:i:c:p:15-23

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmateco.2014.09.011

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