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Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development

Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain Ranciere and Kenneth Rogoff

Journal of Monetary Economics, 2009, vol. 56, issue 4, 494-513

Abstract: The vast empirical exchange rate literature finds the effect of exchange rate volatility on real activity to be small or insignificant. In contrast, this paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on productivity growth. However, the effect depends critically on a country's level of financial development. The results appear robust to time window, alternative measures of financial development and exchange rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty exacerbates the negative investment effects of domestic credit market constraints.

Keywords: Exchange; rate; regime; Financial; development; and; growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (478)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development (2009)
Working Paper: Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development (2006) Downloads
Working Paper: Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development (2006) Downloads
Working Paper: Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development (2006) Downloads
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