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Scarcity of safe assets, inflation, and the policy trap

David Andolfatto () and Stephen Williamson

Journal of Monetary Economics, 2015, vol. 73, issue C, 70-92

Abstract: A goal of this paper is to make sense of the seemingly puzzling behavior of interest rates and inflation – and the role of central banks in that behavior – during and after the Great Recession, particularly in the United States. To this end, we construct a model in which government debt plays a key role in exchange, and can bear a liquidity premium. If asset market constraints bind, then there need not be deflation under an indefinite zero interest rate policy (ZIRP). Further, ZIRP may not be optimal under these circumstances. A Taylor-rule central banker could be subject to a ZIRP trap and persistently undershoot target inflation. As well, a liquidity premium on government debt creates additional Taylor rule perils, because of a persistently low real interest rate. We make a case that this is the key policy predicament currently faced by many central banks in the world.

Keywords: Safe assets; Collateral; Policy trap; Monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (58)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:moneco:v:73:y:2015:i:c:p:70-92

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.03.008

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