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Effect of trading momentum and price resistance on stock market dynamics: a Glauber Monte Carlo simulation

F Castiglione, R.b Pandey and D Stauffer

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2001, vol. 289, issue 1, 223-228

Abstract: A Monte Carlo computer simulation model is presented to study the evolution of stock price and the distribution of price fluctuation. The resistance is described by an elastic energy Ee=e·x2 resulting from the price deviation x from an initial value and the momentum trading by the potential energy Ep=−b·y in a price gradient y field. The distribution of price fluctuation (P(y)) is symmetric and shows a long time tail compatible over some range with a power-law, P(y)∼y−μ with μ≃4 at e=1.0,b=5. The volatility auto-correlation function (c(τ)) is positive for several iterations.

Keywords: Monte Carlo methods; Stock market; Power laws; Volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:289:y:2001:i:1:p:223-228

DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00496-9

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Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

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