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The effects of different inflation risk premiums on interest rate spreads

Hakan Berument (), Zubeyir Kilinc () and Umit Ozlale

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, vol. 333, issue C, 317-324

Abstract: This paper analyzes how the different types of inflation uncertainty affect a set of interest rate spreads for the UK. Three types of inflation uncertainty—structural uncertainty, impulse uncertainty, and steady-state inflation uncertainty—are defined and derived by using a time-varying parameter model with a GARCH specification. It is found that both the structural and steady-state inflation uncertainties increase interest rate spreads, while the empirical evidence for the impulse uncertainty is not conclusive.

Keywords: Interest rates; Inflation uncertainty; GARCH; Kalman filter (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:333:y:2004:i:c:p:317-324

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2003.10.039

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Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

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