Remarks on the possible universal mechanism of the non-linear long-term autocorrelations in financial time-series

Ryszard Kutner and Filip Świtała

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, vol. 344, issue 1, 244-251

Abstract: The paper consists of two parts: (i) the empirical one where the non-linear, long-term autocorrelations present in high-frequency data extracting from the Warsaw Stock Exchange were analyzed and (ii) theoretical one where predictions of our model (Quantitative Finance 3 (2003) 201; Physica A (2003); Chem. Phys. 284 (2002) 481; Phys. Comm. 147 (2002) 565; Physica A 264 (1999) 84; Physica A 264 (1999) 107; Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2657 (2003) 407; Eur. Phys. J. B 33 (2003) 495) were shown and discussed. This model introduces the possibility that the Weierstrass (hierarchical) random walk can be occasionally intermitted by momentary localizations; the localizations themselves are again described by the Weierstrass process. In other words, this combined walk is a kind of the non-separable, generalized continuous-time random walk formalism. To adapt the model to the description of empirical data recorded at time horizon Δt=1min, we applied a discretization procedure into the continuous-time series produced by the model. We observed that such a procedure generates the non-linear, long-term autocorrelations even in the Gaussian regime, as turning points of the random walk trajectory are, most often, incommensurable with discretization time-step. These autocorrelations appear to be similar to those observed in the financial time series (Physica A 287 (2000) 396; Physica A 299 (2001) 1; Physica A 299 (2001) 16; Physica A 299 (2001) 28), although single steps of the walker within continuous time are, by definition, uncorrelated. Our approach suggests a surprising origin of the non-linear, long-term autocorrelations alternative to the one proposed very recently (cf. Phys. Rev. E 67 (2003) 021112 and refs. therein) although both approaches involve related variants of the well-known CTRW formalism applied in yet many different branches of knowledge (Phys. Rep. 158 (1987) 263; Phys. Rep. 195 (1990) 127; in: A. Bunde, S. Havlin (Eds.), Fractals in Science, Springer, Berlin, 1995, pp. 119–161).

Keywords: Weierstrass or Lévy walks with varying velocity; Weierstrass and combined Weierstrass walks; Stochastic hierarchical spatial–temporal coupling; Anomalous diffusion; Long-term non-linear autocorrelation; Non-Gaussian stochastic process; Fractional spatial and temporal dynamic exponents; Power-law; Scaling relations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:344:y:2004:i:1:p:244-251

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.06.126

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