Outbreaks source: A new mathematical approach to identify their possible location

Massimo Buscema, Enzo Grossi, Marco Breda and Tom Jefferson

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2009, vol. 388, issue 22, 4736-4762

Abstract: Classical epidemiology has generally relied on the description and explanation of the occurrence of infectious diseases in relation to time occurrence of events rather than to place of occurrence. In recent times, computer generated dot maps have facilitated the modeling of the spread of infectious epidemic diseases either with classical statistics approaches or with artificial “intelligent systems”. Few attempts, however, have been made so far to identify the origin of the epidemic spread rather than its evolution by mathematical topology methods.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Outbreak source; Evolutionary algorithm; Probabilistic density function; Multidimensional scaling; Theory of location; Geographic profiling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:388:y:2009:i:22:p:4736-4762

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.07.034

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