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Timing matters in foreign exchange markets

Yoshito Hirata and Kazuyuki Aihara

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2012, vol. 391, issue 3, 760-766

Abstract: We show using nonlinear time series analysis that the timing of trades in foreign exchange markets has significant information. We apply a set of methods for analyzing point process data developed in neuroscience and nonlinear science. Our results imply that foreign exchange markets might be chaotic and have short-term predictability.

Keywords: Marked point process; Distances; Recurrence plots; Prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:391:y:2012:i:3:p:760-766

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2011.09.013

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Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

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