Multifractal behavior of wild-land and forest fire time series in Brazil

Rosilda B. de Benicio, Tatijana Stošić, P.H. de Figueirêdo and Borko D. Stošić

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2013, vol. 392, issue 24, 6367-6374

Abstract: We examine statistical properties of a daily hot pixel time series recorded in Brazil during the period 1998–2006, using Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA). We find that generalized scaling exponent h(q) is a decreasing function of q, indicating multifractal behavior of hot pixel dynamics. We also calculate multifractal spectra f(α) and use fourth-degree polynomial regression to estimate complexity parameters that describe the degree of multifractality of the underlying process. After July 2002, when a significant increase of the number of hot pixel observations is recorded, the complexity of the series is reduced (manifested by the reduction of width of the f(α) spectrum), while small fluctuations increase their dominance over large scale fluctuations (manifested by the increase of skew parameter r). These results should be taken into account when devising ecological and climatic models for Brazil, that contemplate the phenomena of wild-land and forest fires.

Keywords: Forest fires; Hotspots; Power law; Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:392:y:2013:i:24:p:6367-6374

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2013.08.012

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