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Multifractal analysis of spot rates in tanker markets and their comparisons with crude oil markets

Shiyuan Zheng and Xiangang Lan

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2016, vol. 444, issue C, 547-559

Abstract: This paper investigates the dynamic features of the spot rates for VLCC/ULCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax and Handysize tanker markets by means of multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The Hurst exponents, especially the time-dependent Hurst exponents, of the daily rate returns are calculated to capture the fractal properties of these different tanker markets. The origins of multifractility in these markets are identified by comparing their multifractal scaling exponents based on the original data, the shuffled data and the surrogate data. Furthermore, the non-periodic cycles for these markets are detected by the V-statistic. Finally, the comparisons of the fractal properties between the tanker markets and the crude oil commodity markets suggest that the tanker markets are more fractal than their upstream counterparts.

Keywords: Tanker markets; MF-DFA; Time-dependent Hurst exponent; Singularity spectrum; Non-periodic cycle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:444:y:2016:i:c:p:547-559

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2015.10.061

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Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

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