Model of epidemic control based on quarantine and message delivery

Xingyuan Wang, Tianfang Zhao and Xiaomeng Qin

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2016, vol. 458, issue C, 168-178

Abstract: The model provides two novel strategies for the preventive control of epidemic diseases. One approach is related to the different isolating rates in latent period and invasion period. Experiments show that the increasing of isolating rates in invasion period, as long as over 0.5, contributes little to the preventing of epidemic; the improvement of isolation rate in latent period is key to control the disease spreading. Another is a specific mechanism of message delivering and forwarding. Information quality and information accumulating process are also considered there. Macroscopically, diseases are easy to control as long as the immune messages reach a certain quality. Individually, the accumulating messages bring people with certain immunity to the disease. Also, the model is performed on the classic complex networks like scale-free network and small-world network, and location-based social networks. Results show that the proposed measures demonstrate superior performance and significantly reduce the negative impact of epidemic disease.

Keywords: Epidemic disease; Preventive control strategy; Latent period; Message delivery; Quarantine (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:458:y:2016:i:c:p:168-178

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.04.009

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