Probabilistic prediction of outbreaks of meningococcus W-135 infections over the next few years in Spain

L. Acedo, C. Burgos, J.-C. Cortés and R.-J. Villanueva

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2017, vol. 486, issue C, 106-117

Abstract: The genogroups of meningococcal and other bacteria are in competition in the ecosystem they form with the human hosts. Changes in vaccination strategies, prophylactic measures or usual habits, may also change the distribution of the genogroups in the ecosystem but, usually, this competition is ignored in most epidemiological models, despite it can be highly influential in the evolution of infection diseases and outbreaks.

Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:486:y:2017:i:c:p:106-117

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.05.043

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