How the distance between regional and human mobility behavior affect the epidemic spreading

Minna Wu, She Han, Mei Sun and Dun Han

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2018, vol. 492, issue C, 1823-1830

Abstract: The distance between different regions has a lot of impact on the individuals’ mobility behavior. Meanwhile, the individuals’ mobility could greatly affect the epidemic propagation way. By researching the individuals’ mobility behavior, we establish the coupled dynamic model for individual mobility and transmission of infectious disease. The basic reproduction number is theoretically obtained according to the next-generation matrix method. Through this study, we may get that the stability state of the epidemic system will be prolonged under a higher commuting level. The infection density is almost the same in different regions over a sufficiently long time. The results show that, due to the individual movement, the origin of virus can only speed up or delay the outbreak of infectious diseases, however, it have little impact on the final infection size.

Keywords: Mobility behavior; Epidemic propagation; Next-generation matrix; Basic reproduction number; Commuting level (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:492:y:2018:i:c:p:1823-1830

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.099

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