Is city traffic damaged by torrential rain?

Shengmin Guo, Ruoqian Wu, Qingfeng Tong, Guanwen Zeng, Jian Yang, Long Chen, Tongyu Zhu, Weifeng Lv and Daqing Li

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2018, vol. 503, issue C, 1073-1080

Abstract: Extreme weather, such as torrential rain, could lead to severe damage to transportation. Many studies have been proposed focusing on the influence of extreme weather on the traffic flow properties. However, the robustness of whole dynamic traffic networks under extreme weather is rarely addressed. Particularly, little attention has been paid to the question whether and how the local destruction of roads is aggregated into a degradation of global traffic operation. Based on real-time traffic data, here we apply percolation analysis on traffic networks and find that the torrential rain can lead to different effects on different levels: on the network scale, the traffic percolation threshold as an indicator for city traffic reliability is stable against weather perturbation, while a portion of roads at the microscopic level is significantly influenced and forming local cluster isolated from the main functional network. This may be due to the fact that torrential rain and other extreme weather condition will not only generate the damaged roads in the supply end, but also reduce the traffic demand correspondingly. Our research suggests the traffic percolation may reflect the nature of relation between local flow and global flow, which can help to design corresponding management strategies.

Keywords: Network robustness; Traffic reliability; Percolation theory; Traffic data science (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118309749
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:503:y:2018:i:c:p:1073-1080

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.08.044

Access Statistics for this article

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

More articles in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().