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Modeling surveys effects in political competitions

A.E. Biondo, A. Pluchino and A. Rapisarda

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2018, vol. 503, issue C, 714-726

Abstract: In this paper the impact of news media and surveys on electoral campaigns for political competitions is studied by means of an agent-based model, showing the dynamics of voters’ opinions before elections. A small community of people, connected among them as a realistic social network, is exposed to the effects of periodic surveys, in order to analyze how the electoral consensus varies time, in several scenarios of a two-parties configuration. Results of performed simulations provide support to the idea that surveys and news may play a relevant role in driving political orientation.

Keywords: Opinion dynamics; Agent-based models; Elections; Surveys (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:503:y:2018:i:c:p:714-726