Cryptocurrency momentum effect: DFA and MF-DFA analysis
Qing Cheng,
Xinyuan Liu and
Xiaowu Zhu
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2019, vol. 526, issue C
Abstract:
Cryptocurrency has experienced the skyrocketing and falling back in 2018. Beyond the hype, the specific price movements of different cryptocurrencies should be investigated in a more careful way. Since the cryptocurrency market is a non-linear complex system which are not suitable analyzed by tradition methods, this paper introduces methods from econophysics. Mono-fractal analysis (detrended fluctuation analysis, DFA) is applied to investigate the price movement. Further, multi-fractal fluctuation detrended analysis (MF-DFA) is used for robustness test. Through analyzing four representative cryptocurrencies, our paper finds a strong momentum effect in BTC and ETH market, and a reversion effect in XRP and EOS when large fluctuation occurs. These findings may provide a reference for trading strategy in alternative asset allocations.
Keywords: Cryptocurrency; Momentum effect; DFA; MF-DFA (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C65 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (27)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:526:y:2019:i:c:s0378437119304480
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.083
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