Epidemiological modeling for COVID-19 spread in India with the effect of testing

Anurag Singh and Md Arquam

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2022, vol. 592, issue C

Abstract: A novel coronavirus has resulted in an outbreak of viral pneumonia in China. Person-to-person transmission has been demonstrated, but, to our knowledge, the spreading of novel coronavirus takes place due to an asymptomatic carrier. Most models are not considering testing and underlying network topology that shows the spreading pattern. By failing to integrate testing into the epidemiological model, models missed a vital opportunity to better understand the role of asymptomatic infection in transmission. In this work, we propose a model considering testing as well as asymptomatic infection considering underlying network topology. We extract the transmission parameters from the data set of COVID-19 of India and apply those parameters in our proposed model. The simulation results support our theoretical derivations, which show the impact of testing and asymptomatic carrier in infection spreading.

Keywords: COVID-19; Epidemic modeling; Basic reproduction number; Critical threshold; Complex network (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437121009596
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:592:y:2022:i:c:s0378437121009596

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.126774

Access Statistics for this article

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

More articles in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().