A fractional–order model with different strains of COVID-19

Isa Abdullahi Baba and Fathalla A. Rihan

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2022, vol. 603, issue C

Abstract: This study examines the dynamics of COVID-19 variants using a Caputo–Fabrizio fractional order model. The reproduction ratio R0 and equilibrium solutions are determined. The purpose of this article is to use a non-integer order derivative in order to present information about the model solutions, uniqueness, and existence using a fixed point theory. A detailed analysis of the existence and uniqueness of the model solution is conducted using fixed point theory. For the computation of the iterative solution of the model, the fractional Adams–Bashforth method is used. Using the estimated values of the model parameters, numerical results are used to support the significance of the fractional-order derivative. The graphs provide useful information about the complexity of the model, and provide reliable information about the model for any case, integer or non-integer. Also, we demonstrate that any variant with the largest basic reproduction ratio will automatically outperform the other variant.

Keywords: COVID-19 variants; Caputo–Fabrizio; Adams–Bashforth technique; Existence and uniqueness; Numerical scheme (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:603:y:2022:i:c:s0378437122005325

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.127813

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