Finding spatial and temporal features of delay propagation via multi-layer networks

Shenwen Chen, Wenbo Du, Runran Liu and Xianbin Cao

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2023, vol. 614, issue C

Abstract: Air traffic system is a typical complex network with dynamic delay propagation between airports. However, difficulties in measuring delay propagation strength and constructing rational networks make investigating the features of delay propagation based on real data from the perspective of complex network is rarely seen. In this paper, using two largest real-world flights dataset of China and the USA over a period of two months in 2018 (from Jul. to Aug.), we construct the delay propagation networks among airports by calculating causality relationship between delay time series of airports. We identify the multilayer structures of networks by k-core decomposition and reveal that a core layer with a few of tightly connected airports dominants delay propagation in the whole systems. Through the analysis on motifs, bidirectional edges are found to be the culprit to expand the scope of delay propagation from airport pairs to local structures. At the system level, we analyze the properties of communities and found that airports geographically close to each other are likely to be classified into a delay propagation community, while the delay propagation between communities is mainly affected by the air traffic flow between them. Moreover, through the comparisons of structures for the delay propagation networks on different days, we reveal the temporal dependence of delay propagation that the more serious the delay propagation in one day, the more similar it will be to that in the next day. Finally, the usefulness of features found is assessed through applying them to predict the delay propagation in the future.

Keywords: Air traffic network; Delay propagation; Transfer entropy; k-core decomposition; Logistic regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843712300081X
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:614:y:2023:i:c:s037843712300081x

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.128526

Access Statistics for this article

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

More articles in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().