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Critically spanning epidemic outbreak cluster in random geometric networks

Dipa Saha, Sayantan Mitra and Ankur Sensharma

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2023, vol. 629, issue C

Abstract: The central quantity of interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is perhaps the epidemic threshold, which indicates the capability of a pathogen to infect a sizable fraction of a population. Depending on the system and the approach, this threshold can be related to different system parameters. In this study, we employ the stochastic, asynchronous susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) model in a random geometric graph (RGG), which, by virtue of its definition, is a conspicuously suitable spatial network for analyzing epidemic spreading. We adopt a percolation approach to determine the epidemic criterion in terms of a characteristic length scale, namely, the transmission range of the pathogen. In particular, we numerically calculate the critical transmission range for which the eventual outbreak cluster spans the network. This signals a phase transition whose critical behavior suggests that it belongs to the standard percolation universality class. A direct estimate of the fractal dimension of the outbreak cluster agrees well with that obtained from the critical exponents.

Keywords: Random geometric graph; Monte Carlo methods; SIR epidemic model; Critical transmission range; Percolation; Universality class (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:629:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123007811

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.129226

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