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Agent-Based simulation reveals localized isolation key to saving lives and resources

Mintu Karmakar

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2024, vol. 653, issue C

Abstract: In the realm of pandemic dynamics, understanding the intricate interplay between disease transmission, interventions, and immunity is pivotal for effective control strategies. Through a rigorous agent-based computer simulation, we embarked on a comprehensive exploration, traversing unmitigated spread, lockdown scenarios, and the transformative potential of vaccination. we unveil that while quarantine unquestionably delays the pandemic peak, it does not act as an impenetrable barrier to halt the progression of infectious diseases. Vaccination factor revealed a potent weapon against outbreaks — higher vaccination percentage not only delayed infection peaks but also substantially curtailed their impact. Our investigation into bond dilution below the percolation threshold presents an additional dimension to pandemic control. We observed that localized isolation through bond dilution offers a more resource-efficient targeted control strategy than blanket lockdowns or large-scale vaccination campaigns.

Keywords: Pandemic dynamics; Disease transmission; Lockdown; Vaccination; Percolation threshold; Localized isolation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:653:y:2024:i:c:s037843712400606x

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2024.130097

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