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Trends and reversion in financial markets on time scales from minutes to decades

Sara A. Safari and Christof Schmidhuber

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2025, vol. 675, issue C

Abstract: We empirically analyze the reversion of financial market trends with time horizons ranging from minutes to decades. The analysis covers equities, interest rates, currencies and commodities and combines 14 years of futures tick data, 30 years of daily futures prices, 330 years of monthly asset prices, and yearly financial data since medieval times.

Keywords: Financial Markets; Critical Phenomena; Scaling behavior; Trendfollowing; Tick data; Long-term financial data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:675:y:2025:i:c:s0378437125004480

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2025.130796

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Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications is currently edited by K. A. Dawson, J. O. Indekeu, H.E. Stanley and C. Tsallis

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