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On the trade-off between the leverage effect and real options thinking: A simulation-based model on metal mining investment

Jyrki Savolainen, Mikael Collan, Kalevi Kyläheiko and Pasi Luukka

International Journal of Production Economics, 2017, vol. 194, issue C, 43-51

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of financing conditions to managerial flexibility and project value and focuses on the point of view of the equity holder of a mining company. Simulation based analysis is performed with a dynamic system model of a metal mine investment. The leverage effect of the equity holder's discount rate change as a function of the debt/equity ratio is separately modelled. Our empirical results show that the choice of a financing structure is important for the value maximization for the equity holder, since different debt/equity ratios differently condition the management's ability to make operational decisions, such as temporary shut downs, which could raise the value of the mining project. The trade-off between the leverage effect (decreasing need for equity) and real option flexibility (increasing need for working capital) will be scrutinized both theoretically and by using simulation-based analysis for numerical results.

Keywords: Real options; Financial structure; Temporary closing; Metal mining; Optimal leverage (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:proeco:v:194:y:2017:i:c:p:43-51

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2017.06.002

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