Analysis and modeling of seasonal characteristics of renewable energy generation

Haiyang Jiang, Ershun Du, Boyu He, Ning Zhang, Peng Wang, Fuqiang Li and Jie Ji

Renewable Energy, 2023, vol. 219, issue P1

Abstract: The increasing penetration of renewable energy leads to seasonal fluctuation in the power system. This also results in continuous low-renewable-output events, which pose significant challenges for ensuring adequate renewable energy supply and arouse growing concern. To analyze the seasonal fluctuation characteristics of renewable in different timescales, this paper first decomposes the renewable time series into three components: climate, seasonal, and daily. Then an Itô process is introduced to model the climate and daily components considering the time series’ stochastic characteristics and time correlations. Finally, the proposed model is first tested based on case studies on historical data from two selected weather stations in China. Moreover, the method is further applied to analyzing data from 253 weather stations across China at the provincial level. The results indicate that low-renewable-output events are more likely to have a longer duration in central China.

Keywords: Seasonal analysis; Renewable energy; Itô process; Multiple timescales; Continuous low-renewable-output event (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148123013290
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:renene:v:219:y:2023:i:p1:s0960148123013290

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2023.119414

Access Statistics for this article

Renewable Energy is currently edited by Soteris A. Kalogirou and Paul Christodoulides

More articles in Renewable Energy from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().