A graph attention network with spatio-temporal wind propagation graph for wind power ramp events prediction

Xinghao Peng, Yanting Li and Fugee Tsung

Renewable Energy, 2024, vol. 236, issue C

Abstract: The increasing penetration rate of wind power underscores the necessity for accurate forecasting and alerting of wind power ramp events (WPREs), given the unpredictable nature of wind. This article presents a novel approach to predicting WPREs, emphasizing the complexities of wind propagation across multiple locations, in contrast to traditional single-site analyses. By integrating a wind propagation graph into a Graph Attention Network (GAT), the prediction of ramp events is significantly enhanced. The efficacy of this approach is validated through comprehensive case studies utilizing the Spatial Dynamic Wind Power Forecasting (SDWPF) dataset from the Baidu KDD Cup 2022 and the WIND toolkit dataset from NREL, demonstrating superior results at both the wind turbine and wind farm scales.

Keywords: Wind power ramp events; Wind propagation; Graph attention network; Ramp prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:renene:v:236:y:2024:i:c:s096014812401348x

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121280

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