Expected halt in the current global warming trend?

Ernest C. Njau

Renewable Energy, 2005, vol. 30, issue 5, 743-752

Abstract: The variation patterns of global temperature were considerably turbulent from about 1870 up to 1940. Then just after 1940 these patterns underwent a sunspot-related change and adopted to relatively less turbulent variability. It is established here that these global temperature patterns are currently in the process of undergoing a sunspot-related change from the post-1940 relatively less turbulent variability back into relatively more turbulent variability. This apparently imminent state of more turbulent variability is expected to stop and at least slightly reverse the global warming trend, which has been going on since about 1965. Besides, it is shown separately that the mean of ‘global mean temperature variations’ reaches the next peak at about the year 2005 after which it will expectedly be on a decreasing trend. Finally, it is shown that, contrary to projections made in the Third IPCC Assessment Report, Greenland is currently in an ongoing cooling trend which is expected to last up to at least the year 2035.

Date: 2005
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:renene:v:30:y:2005:i:5:p:743-752

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2004.07.011

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