Geothermal energy utilization trends from a technological paradigm perspective
Bobo Zheng,
Jiuping Xu,
Ting Ni and
Meihui Li
Renewable Energy, 2015, vol. 77, issue C, 430-441
Abstract:
The use of geothermal energy and its associated technologies has been increasing worldwide. However, there has been little paradigmatic research conducted in this area. This paper proposes a systematic methodology to research the development trends for the sustainable development of geothermal energy. A novel data analysis system was created to research the geothermal energy utilization trends, and a technological paradigm theory was adopted to explain the technological changes. A diffusion velocity model was used to simulate and forecast the geothermal power generation development in the diffusion phase. Simulation results showed that the development of installed capacity for geothermal generation had a strong inertia force along with the S-curve. Power generation from geothermal power sources reached a peak in 2008 and is estimated to be saturated by 2030. Geothermal energy technologies in hybrid power systems based on other renewable energy sources look to be more promising in the future.
Keywords: Geothermal energy utilization; Technological paradigm; Literature mining; Electricity generation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:renene:v:77:y:2015:i:c:p:430-441
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.035
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