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On a universal model for the prediction of the daily global solar radiation

S. Kaplanis, Jatin Kumar and E. Kaplani

Renewable Energy, 2016, vol. 91, issue C, 178-188

Abstract: A model to predict the mean expected daily global solar radiation, H(n) on a day n, at a site with latitude φ is proposed. The model is based on two cosine functions. A regression analysis taking into account the mean measured values Hm.meas(n) obtained from SoDa database for 42 sites in the Northern Hemisphere resulted in a set of mathematical expressions of split form to predict H(n). The parameters of the two cosine model for 0°<φ < 23° are obtained by regression analysis using a sum of 3–8 Gaussian functions, while for 23°<φ < 71° the two cosine model parameters are expressed by a sum of exponential functions or the product of an exponential and a cosine function. The main equation of the model and the set of parametric expressions provide H(n) for any φ on Earth. Validation results of this model are provided along with the statistical estimators NMBE, NRMSE and t-statistic in comparison to the corresponding values from three databases of NASA, SoDa and the measured values from ground stations provided in Meteonorm.

Keywords: Daily solar radiation; Universal model; Prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:renene:v:91:y:2016:i:c:p:178-188

DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2016.01.037

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