Public information arrival and stock return volatility: Evidence from news sentiment and Markov Regime-Switching Approach
Yanlin Shi,
Kin-Yip Ho and
Wai-Man Liu
International Review of Economics & Finance, 2016, vol. 42, issue C, 291-312
Abstract:
Using computational linguistic analysis of intraday firm-level news releases, this study models the relation between public information flows and stock volatility under different regimes. We analyze how the hourly return volatility of S&P100 stocks from 2000 to 2010 are linked to the various linguistics-based sentiment scores of the news releases, which are obtained from the RavenPack News Analytics Database. Results from the Markov Regime-Switching GARCH (MRS-GARCH) model indicate that firm-specific news sentiment is more significant in quantifying intraday volatility persistence in the calm (low-volatility) state than the turbulent (high-volatility) state. Furthermore, the impact of news sentiment differs across industries and firm size.
Keywords: Public information arrival; Stock return volatility; News sentiment; Markov Regime-Switching GARCH (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C52 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reveco:v:42:y:2016:i:c:p:291-312
DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.12.003
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