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Investor sentiment spillover effect and market quality in crude oil futures

Yu-Lun Chen, Wan-Shin Mo and Ya-Kai Chang

International Review of Economics & Finance, 2022, vol. 82, issue C, 177-193

Abstract: This study examines the influence of investor sentiment on trading behavior in crude oil futures. We find that money manager traders (i.e., hedge funds) adopt positive feedback trading strategies in normal periods and turn to negative feedback trading in pessimistic periods. Meanwhile, swap dealers adopt negative feedback trading in normal periods and reduce the intensity of their negative feedback trading during pessimistic periods. We also find that the sentiment-driven trading of money manager traders and swap dealers does not hurt the quality of the crude oil futures market in either pessimistic or optimistic periods. In contrast, producers' (hedgers’) positions increase volatility and pricing errors in the crude oil futures market.

Keywords: Crude oil futures; Hedge funds; Pricing error; SWAP dealer (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E44 G18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reveco:v:82:y:2022:i:c:p:177-193

DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2022.06.013

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