Leverage cycles, growth shocks, and sudden stops in capital inflows
Lorenz Emter
International Review of Economics & Finance, 2023, vol. 84, issue C, 711-731
Abstract:
Using a quarterly panel of 98 advanced as well as emerging and developing countries from 1990 to 2018, this paper examines covariates of sudden stops in capital inflows. It shows that domestic variables are related to the probability of incurring sharp reversals in capital inflows controlling for global push factors. In particular, negative growth shocks combined with high levels of leverage in the domestic private sector are significantly correlated with sudden stops. This is in line with real business cycle models including an occasionally binding credit constraint and income trend shocks.
Keywords: International capital flows; Sudden stops; Financial stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 F30 F32 F34 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Working Paper: Leverage Cycles, Growth Shocks, and Sudden Stops in Capital Inflows (2020) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reveco:v:84:y:2023:i:c:p:711-731
DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2022.11.029
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