Can educational investment mitigate the impact of aging on household leverage ratio?

Teng Long, Kun Bu, Pengfei Du and Zhige Wang

International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024, vol. 89, issue PA, 1335-1347

Abstract: Population aging is a critical determinant that significantly influences the household leverage ratio. Can the adverse effects of aging be mitigated through enhancements in residents' educational attainment? Drawing on panel data from 52 economies experiencing population aging between 1990 and 2019, this study examines the mechanism by which educational investment influences household leverage ratio. The findings indicate that: Firstly, education investment can partially alleviate the negative impact of population aging on household leverage. Secondly, enhancing residents' educational investment can reduce household debt by increasing savings rates, thereby indirectly lowering the household leverage ratio. Thirdly, while an increase in educational investment may raise labor force participation rates, it also leads to higher pension demands and subsequently increases household leverage. Fourthly, the moderating effect of compulsory basic education is more pronounced in economies that have overcome “Old Before Rich” characteristics; however, for economies still grappling with such characteristics, higher quality education exhibits a significantly superior moderating effect compared to compulsory basic education. Therefore, measures such as improving higher education systems' infrastructure, actively promoting pension contribution system reforms and maintaining sufficient fiscal space will aid in reducing household leverage ratios and mitigating risks associated with household debt.

Keywords: Aging; Education investment; Household leverage ratio; Debt ratio (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G15 Q51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reveco:v:89:y:2024:i:pa:p:1335-1347

DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.09.001

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