Identifying crucial financial markets in the flows of cross-border capital – evidence from China's financial risk network

Xiaojian Yu, Zhiyong Li, Donald Lien and Jinqiang Hu

International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024, vol. 96, issue PB

Abstract: With the increasing openness of China's financial markets, it is important to address cross-border capital risks. This paper first calculates the stress indicators of financial markets by 24 variables, and then utilizes the Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach to examine the spillover effects among the volatility of cross-border capital and the stress indicators of various financial markets. We show both the real estate and stock market are crucial for cross-border capital flow. Using the rolling window method, we find significant time-varying spillovers between cross-border capital and financial markets, which peak during the periods with significant events such as the global financial crisis, the COVID-19 epidemic, and the shift in currency regime. This paper further applies the Markov-switching autoregressive model to identify three different states for the synthetic financial stress. After re-analyzing the subsample data, we observe that stock and real estate markets play significant roles in the low-stress state, foreign exchange and real estate markets in the medium-stress state, and stock and money markets in the high-stress state.

Keywords: Cross-border capital; Financial markets stress; Spillover networks; Contagion mechanisms (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056024006622
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reveco:v:96:y:2024:i:pb:s1059056024006622

DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2024.103670

Access Statistics for this article

International Review of Economics & Finance is currently edited by H. Beladi and C. Chen

More articles in International Review of Economics & Finance from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().