Future indoor light and associated energy consumption based on professionals' visions: A practice- and network-oriented analysis
Mads Borup and
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2018, vol. 129, issue C, 1-11
Through the insight and visions of Danish lighting experts, this manuscript investigates relationships between future lighting technologies and practices and the expected impacts on energy and lighting consumption. The light-emitting diode (LED) will be the dominant technology of the future smart light systems. Though, energy efficiency is expected to improve, new market players will appear and new lighting opportunites will be exploited that, in turn, will increase the demand for light. A rebound effect is expected. The overall impact on the future consumption of energy is uncertain, so we conclude that political guidance is needed if society wants to assure the reduction of energy consumption through widespread diffusion of smart LED lights.
Keywords: Rebound effect; Technology foresight; Lighting; LED technology; Smart light; Cognitive mapping; Energy consumption (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:129:y:2018:i:c:p:1-11
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