Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2026

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 227, issue C, 2026

Does artificial intelligence (AI) adoption enable resilience to disruptions among firms? An in-depth examination

Jiapeng Dai and Anqi Zhang

Analytical groundwork for circular economy roadmaps based on a soft systems approach: A case study of lithium-ion batteries

Sampriti Mahanty, Frank Boons and Nick MacInnes

The future of digitally enabled circular strategies in manufacturing: A Delphi study

Lena Ries, Francisco Layrisse, Julia Pompe, Nina Lugmair and Julian Kurtz

Triple helix interactivity and social tie embeddedness: Catalysts for innovation legitimacy and sustainable practice institutionalization

Qiuhan Zhao, Chuan Qin, Zhaoying Lu and Yizhong Sun

From patents to predictive analytics: Leveraging R-GCNs for technological opportunity discovery in converging industries

Guillermo Honores-Marín, Sarfaraz Hashemkhani Zolfani and Maxwell Chipulu

Critical raw materials and the renewable energy transition: The role of domestic supply

George Yunxiong Li and Simona Iammarino

AI technology and labor skill transformation: Theoretical and empirical evidence from China

Xueling Yan, Qiyang Zhu, Shule Yu and Xu Huang

The micromobility mindset: Socio-technical drivers of bike share scheme adoption in the UK

Nima Dadashzadeh, Niamh Mason, Oliver Stone-Houghton, Orla Bermingham and Montell Issah

AI-generated agents with expert personas in biotechnology: Delphi evaluation of emerging technologies and future trajectories

Hayoon Lee, Juhyun Lee and Heyoung Yang

Enhancing apology sincerity in AI bots: The role of anthropomorphic cues, perceived experience, and AI literacy

Xue Fan and Soyeon Kwon

Organisational responsible AI implementation and organisational foresight: The role of leadership control and managerial cognitive flexibility

Usama Awan, Sheraz Ahmed, Norah Albishri, David Kalisz and Gábor Szabó-Szentgróti

Experiential learning and governance in the socio-technical era: Modeling responsible AI performance via explainability and adaptability

Ming Liu, Intesar Almugren, Varun Chotia, Nidhi Sahore and Attila Kurucz

Resource use optimisation for public sector infrastructure projects: An empirical examination of digital twin adoption

Rohit Kumar Singh, Mathiyazhagan Kaliyan, Dongmei Cao and Tarik Saikouk

Triple Helix synergy at the subsidy threshold: Government support, IUR collaboration, and knowledge spillovers in enterprise AI innovation

Xin Wang, Bingjun Zhou, Wei Guan and Jiapeng Dai

What drives the uptake of ecologically civilized patents in China? New evidence from firm-level patent data with DID approach

Shubo Yang, Atif Jahanger and Mohammad Razib Hossain

Artificial intelligence and firms green performance: The mediating roles of product- and customer-oriented servitization strategies

Emmanuel Olusola Babalola, Wu Bo, Muruako Emmanuel Chimezie and Nouf Alkhalifah

Artificial intelligence awareness and career resilience: The mediating role of willingness to protect boundaries in Chinese financial enterprises

Ming Fu

Internal settings, external linkages, and urban innovation: A dynamic configurational analysis

Xingying Dai, Jiangang Shi and Yi Wang

Investing in intelligence: The impact of AI adoption and investment intensity on supply chain efficiency of green firms

Juan Chen, Jiancheng Bai, Nawazish Mirza and Muhammad Umar

How do incumbents use AI technologies to strategically renew their innovation portfolios?

Michael Rennings, Quentin Plantec, Anna Waßenhoven, Clement Sternberger, Mei Yun Lai and Stefanie Bröring

Decentralization through capabilities in human centred technology and engaging social media content: Implications for social inclusion

Sena Ozdemir, Suraksha Gupta, Gaye Bebek, Deep Sagar Verma and Matthew M. Shin

Effective incentive or limited effect? China's new energy vehicle promotion policy and enterprise electrification technology transformation

Shufeng Qin, Yongqing Xiong and Qian Cheng

Impact of robotics on unemployment: Moderating effect of the national culture

Guangjie Du, Suman Lodh, Monomita Nandy, Marina Dabić, Vikas Kumar and Jyoti Choudrie

Circular innovation in healthcare: Competencies and resources for developing healthcare technologies

Federica Asperti, Emanuela Foglia, Antonio Messeni Petruzzelli and Andrea Urbinati

Physician role transformation in AI-driven healthcare: Role demands, adverse work outcomes and AI competencies as resources

Ali Zaher, Verma Prikshat, Didier Vinot, Ashish Malik and Janabelle Abd El Aziz

Of faith and forks: The role of religiosity and uncertainty in food technology adoption readiness

Brian Lin, Amy Errmann and Denise Conroy

Multi-dimensional environmental assessments of China's typical photovoltaic- and wind-driven seawater desalination in coastal areas

Mengyao Han, Zihan Liu, Siyuan Liu, Xuantong Li, Quan Shan, Di Song and Chao Ai

Exploring employee acceptance of industrial vehicle-to-grid systems: The role of trust, perceived barriers and benefits

Lisa Drees, David Meyer and Heike Proff

AI-driven opportunity forecasting for technology startup identification: Integrating graph embedding, LLMs, and informetric analysis

Dongsheng Zhai, Kai Zhao, Ming Wang, Liang Zhai and Shuo Xu

How does responsible AI influence healthcare employee AI collaboration and engagement? The role of AI trust and responsible leadership

Zahid Hameed, Hadeel Alsaleh, Priyanka Malik and Sushant Kumar Vishnoi

Strategic tensions in organizational GenAI adoption: A game theory modeling of internal resource competition, workforce dynamics, and value management

Massimiliano Ferrara, Giampaolo Viglia and Jose Carlos Romero

Acknowledging while doubling down: Japan's responses to uncertainty in the hydrogen sector

Andrea Furnaro and Gregory Trencher

How to protect and restore biodiversity? Exploring polarized citizens' expectations through embedding-based topic modeling with large language models

Magali Trelohan, Anne-Cécile Gay, David Moroz and Damien Chaney

Generative AI, digital dexterity, and organizational future performance: The roles of decision-making and institutional governance for sustainable supply chains

David Yulong Liu, Muhammad Mustafa Kamal, Junpeng Dou and Justin Zuopeng Zhang

Corrigendum to “Enhancing apology sincerity in AI bots: The role of anthropomorphic cues, perceived experience, and AI literacy” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change227 (2026) 124622]

Xue Fan and Soyeon Kwon

3D printing and the geography of production

Nicola Cortinovis and Joric Donnet

Navigating technological turbulence in resource-constrained environments: Strategies for building resilience in internationalization

Elias Appiah-Kubi, Emil Lucian Crișan, Alin Adrian Mihăilă and Codruța Cornelia Dura

Metaverse for supply chain resilience: Navigating disruptions and sustainability

Kai-Xiang Sun, Voon-Hsien Lee, Garry Wei-Han Tan, Brian Kee Mun Wong and Keng-Boon Ooi

Editorial introduction to the special issue: bridging the gap between adoption theory and practice in technological forecasting

Jaime Bonnin Roca and George Papachristos

Platform strategies through the lens of demand heterogeneity

I. Kim Wang

Volume 226, issue C, 2026

Blockchain-enabled dynamic capabilities for supply chain ambidexterity: Empirical evidence from manufacturing firms for enhanced competence and flexibility

Mahak Sharma, Bader K. AlNuaimi, Mehmood Khan, Rsha Alghafes and Rudresh Pandey

Sensemaking and AI: Unraveling individuals' reactions to the black box in a three-study investigation

Domenico di Prisco and Silvia Dello Russo

Designing a global resilient vaccine supply chain: Forecasting with hybrid neural network

Ehsan Torshizi, Fatemeh Sabouhi and Ali Bozorgi-Amiri

Forecasting emerging job opportunities using the subject-action-object approach

Khadijeh Mousavi, Sepideh Fahimifar and Amir Salar Vanaki

AI adoption in healthcare organizations: Spheres of development and the virtue of visible value

Rikke Duus, Mike Cooray and Simon Lilley

An activity system perspective on smart product service systems

Isabel Fischer, Marcel Papert, Alexander Leischnig and Günter Prockl

Elderly consumers' reaction to an eHealth app: The critical role of relational-emotional aspects of technology adoption

Shuili Du, Richard P. Bagozzi, Chunyan Xie, Kristi Bjørnes Skeie Keleghan, Tatiana A. Iakovleva and Elin Merethe Oftedal

Drivers and barriers to the adoption of wind assisted ship propulsion technologies: An organisational perspective

Armand Djoumessi, Alessio Tei, Claudio Ferrari, Per Wide and Vendela Santén

How does corporate greenwashing affect firm resilience –Causal inference utilizing dual machine learning techniques

Fu Jia, Dingguo Hu and Lujie Chen

Learning through decision episodes: A narrative-QCA study of ESG founder typologies in sustainable startups

María Eizaguirre, Jose Antonio Vicente-Pascual and Andreas Kallmuenzer

Unveiling the path to the fourth industrial revolution: Exploring technology adoption and firm-level barriers

Chinh Hoang-Duc, Kien Hoang-Le, Tuan Nguyen-Anh, Linh Nguyen-Thi-Thuy, Uyen Nguyen-Dinh, Huong Nguyen-Thi-Lan and Nguyen To-The

Invention complexity, latent innovation capabilities, and economic development in upper middle-income countries

Muhammad Salar Khan, Maurice Kugler and Chad A. Smith

Navigating sustainable growth: Green innovation as a mediator between CSR Engagement and firm value in emerging markets

Zhe Sun, Liang Zhao, Hind Alofaysan, Bhumika Gupta and Vikram Kumar Sharma

Mid-air haptics for automotive HUDs: A sketch anticipation and design fiction study

Orestis Georgiou, Roberto Montano, Dario Pittera, William Frier, Stephen Hughes, Patrick Haggard, Marianna Obrist and Patricia Cornelio

Digital business models and their implications for sustainability: A typology, industry examples, and paths for future research

Pejvak Oghazi, Maximilian Palmié, Rana Mostaghel and Lucas Miehé

Equifinal roads to a driverless future: A techno-institutional mixed-methods fsQCA study of demographic-specific archetypes

Sohaib Mustafa, Qiang Wang, Khalid Jamil and Sailesh Acharya

Responsible AI in knowledge creation: An exploration of generative AI's opportunities and risks

Shuanping Dai, Qinqian Li, Jia, Shizhen (Jasper), Gang Liu, Tomáš Kincl and Nick Hajli

Imported intermediates and firm performance: A difference-in-differences analysis of matched Indian manufacturing firms

Nitika Arneja and Chandan Sharma

Enabling innovation capabilities through digital technology adoption: A supply chain management perspective

Jia, Fu (Jeff), Nazrul Islam, Lujie Chen and Xiaolan Fu

Identification of repurposed smart healthcare innovation opportunities for cross-disease applications via dynamic multiplex disease network

Hyungsuk Lim, Yucheol Kim, Geon Hyeok Chun and So Young Sohn

Corrigendum to “Dynamic optimal distinctive configurations enabling manufacturing firms to achieve high green innovation efficiency” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 224 (2026) 124510]

Jinghua Li, Xuan Qiu, Jiantao Zhu and Yuting Pang

How does digital intelligent knowledge orchestration enhance green service innovation in manufacturing enterprises? Based on the perspective of enterprise relationship resilience

Hongna Tian and Liyan Zhao

Sustainable last-mile delivery: Understanding perceived benefits and risks of AI-automated delivery drones in France

Lars Meyer-Waarden, Julien Cloarec, Stéphane Salgado and Vincent Favarin

Advancing corporate green innovation through science: The role of freedom of expression and NGOs

Imane El Ouadghiri, Jonathan Peillex, Federico Platania and Celina Toscano Hernandez

How AI innovation shapes supplier concentration under the triple helix framework: Evidence from emerging markets

Wei Wu, Jing Xu, Ying Li, Yali Fan and Shiyu Tang

From cross-helix knowledge to societal impact: The role of network diversity, innovation capabilities, and policy dynamism

Canghong Wang, Yuwen Ning, Dariusz Cichoń, Pu-yan Nie and Irum Shahzadi

Patent strategies in the age of FinTech: Understanding IP management practices and open innovation across financial institutions

Milad Armani Dehghani, Alexander Brauneis and Dionysios Karavidas

Corrigendum to “Evaluating Delphi survey accuracy in transportation: Evidence from Japanese technology foresight” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 224 (2026) 124496]

Sukhayl Niyazov, Olesia Maibakh, Alexei Sukharev, Tatiana Kulakova and Alexey Ufimtsev

Dynamic regulatory experimentation and innovation trajectories: Evidence from Korea's battery industry and global sandbox governance

Min Jae Park

Diagnosing pharmaceutical regulatory agencies: A metacybernetic framework for innovation and governance

Gandolfo Dominici and Maurice Yolles

Artificial intelligence and climate risk: Toward sustainable development within a Double Helix framework

Zhenghao Tong and Zhi Tan

Sustainable technology evolution in innovation ecosystems: A regulatory framework for (non)-convergent technologies

Christopher Agyapong Siaw and Joseph Amankwah-Amoah

Quantifying the knowledge proximity between academic and industry research: An entity and semantic perspective

Hongye Zhao, Yi Zhao and Chengzhi Zhang

Unveiling the key determinants of cleantech venture capital investment in India: A study using necessary condition and fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis

Sheena Rehman

Fostering well-being in Industry 5.0 through managerial behaviours and enabling technologies

Michela Piccarozzi, Federica Caboni and Roberto Bruni

A socio-technical framework for analyzing crop advisors' preferences for AI-based decision support systems

Maaz Gardezi, Indunil Dharmasiri, Asim Zia, Donna M. Rizzo, Scott C. Merrill, Benjamin E.K. Ryan, Halimeh Abuayyash, Pablo Carcamo, Bhavna Joshi, David Clay and John McMaine

From reviews to results: A mixed-methods evaluation to understand UX in fashion apps

Debarun Chakraborty, Atanu Manna and Francesco Paolo Appio

Approaching the future: Blueprinting and Wayfinding in corporate foresight enactment

Anup Karath Nair and George Burt

When customers meet robots: How authenticity and delight shape revisit intention through customer–robot interaction

Yi Zhang, Farzana Quoquab, Jihad Mohammad and Yanrui Michael Tao

Cultivating outside-out open innovation: How a corporate accelerator orchestrates its ecosystem

Ferhat Demir, Martin Lukes and Wim Vanhaverbeke

Risk, generative AI, disinformation control, global supply chains, and social impacts

Pervaiz Akhtar, Thanos Papadopoulos, Huda Khan, Arsalan Mujhaid Ghouri, Saqib Shamim and Aniqa Ashraf

Artificial intelligence and competitive edges: Do knowledge spillovers undermine strategic autonomy?

Alessandro Marra, Alfredo Cartone and Giulia Di Giorgio

Trailblazing supply chain innovation: The fusion of dynamic capabilities, value cocreation, and digital transformation

Yan Zhou, Liandong Zhou, Qifeng Wang, Justin Zuopeng Zhang, Kee-hung Lai, Sajjad M. Jasimuddin, Abhishek Behl and Asif Nazrul

Trust as institutional infrastructure: Balancing isomorphism and legitimacy in the governance of GenAI for healthcare

Imon Chakraborty and Nishant Kumar

On different lanes: A cross-case analysis of urban experimentation for autonomous driving

Veronika Stein, Tim Fraske and Jens Schippl

Walls of technology, cracks in employment: The labor effects of foreign technology sanctions

Bowen Fu