Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 84, issue C, 2014

The emergence of ‘zygotics’: Using science fiction to examine the future of design prototyping pp. 5-14

P. Grimshaw and T.F. Burgess

Evolving products: From human design to self-organisation via Science Fiction Prototyping pp. 15-28

James P. Roberts and Andrew Middleton

From cyberpunk to calm urban computing: Exploring the role of technology in the future cityscape pp. 29-42

Hannu Kukka, Anna Luusua, Johanna Ylipulli, Tiina Suopajärvi, Vassilis Kostakos and Timo Ojala

Making MadLab: A creative space for innovation and creating prototypes pp. 43-53

Frances Bell, Gordon Fletcher, Anita Greenhill, Marie Griffiths and Rachel McLean

Literary praxiphorical analysis: Using science fiction and fantasy to shape organizational futures pp. 54-65

John F. Keane, Gary Graham and Bernard Burnes

Novels and novelty in trend research — Using novels to perceive weak signals and transfer frames of reference pp. 66-73

Jan Oliver Schwarz, Rixa Kroehl and Heiko A. von der Gracht

The empathic care robot: A prototype of responsible research and innovation pp. 74-85

Bernd Carsten Stahl, Neil McBride, Kutoma Wakunuma and Catherine Flick

The strategic prototype “crime-sourcing” and the science/science fiction behind it pp. 86-92

Gary Graham and Rashid Mehmood

Co-evolutionary scenarios for creative prototyping of future robot systems for civil protection pp. 93-100

Henrik Carlsen, Linda Johansson, Per Wikman-Svahn and Karl Henrik Dreborg

The role of context in science fiction prototyping: The digital industrial revolution pp. 101-114

Michael Potstada and Jan Zybura

The future's four quarters: Proposing a quadrant methodology for strategic prototyping in infrastructural contexts pp. 115-130

Paul Graham Raven

Imaginative labour and relationships of care: Co-designing prototypes with vulnerable communities pp. 131-142

Jen Southern, Rebecca Ellis, Maria Angela Ferrario, Ruth McNally, Rod Dillon, Will Simm and Jon Whittle

Schrödinger's notebook: Shifting real pp. 143-154

Clarissa Ai Ling Lee

Public funding for ocean energy: A comparison of the UK and U.S pp. 155-170

Henry Jeffrey, Jonathan Sedgwick and Gavin Gerrard

Delphi path simulator for unveiling development opportunities in the forest industries by contrasting forest management practices — The case of North Karelia pp. 171-185

Olli Lehtonen and Markku Tykkyläinen

What can we learn about transitions for sustainability from infrastructure shocks? pp. 186-196

Vanesa Castán Broto, Stephanie Glendinning, Emma Dewberry, Claire Walsh and Mark Powell

Visualising components of regional innovation systems using self-organizing maps—Evidence from European regions pp. 197-214

Petr Hajek, Roberto Henriques and Veronika Hajkova

Assessing Delphi panel composition for strategic foresight — A comparison of panels based on company-internal and external participants pp. 215-229

Bernadette Förster and Heiko von der Gracht

Volume 83, issue C, 2014

Against the digital revolution? Institutional maintenance and artefacts within the French recorded music industry pp. 10-23

Antoine Blanc and Isabelle Huault

Copyright reform and business model innovation: Regulatory propaganda at German music industry conferences pp. 24-39

Leonhard Dobusch and Elke Schüßler

Orchestrating innovation with user communities in the creative industries pp. 40-53

Guy Parmentier and Vincent Mangematin

Digitisation of publishing: Exploration based on existing business models pp. 54-65

Sara Øiestad and Markus M. Bugge

Creativity in strategic lock-ins: The newspaper industry and the digital revolution pp. 66-83

Wasko Rothmann and Jochen Koch

Managerial cognition and the value chain in the digital music industry pp. 84-97

Allègre L. Hadida and Thomas Paris

Digital bricolage: Resources and coordination in the production of digital visual effects pp. 98-110

Charles-Clemens Rüling and Raffi Duymedjian

Entanglements of creative agency and digital technology: A sociomaterial study of computer game development pp. 111-126

Nikiforos S. Panourgias, Joe Nandhakumar and Harry Scarbrough

Art is long, innovation is short: Lessons from the Renaissance and the digital age pp. 127-141

Jonathan Sapsed and Feichin Ted Tschang

Modelling future uptake of solar photo-voltaics and water heaters under different government incentives pp. 142-155

Andrew Higgins, Cheryl McNamara and Greg Foliente

A cross-country study on the relationship between diffusion of wind and photovoltaic solar technology pp. 156-169

Hong-Bo Duan, Lei Zhu and Ying Fan

Patent keyword network analysis for improving technology development efficiency pp. 170-182

Jinho Choi and Yong-Sik Hwang

Forecasting deficit irrigation adoption using a mixed stakeholder assessment methodology pp. 183-193

Francisco Alcon, Sorada Tapsuwan, J. Martinez-Paz, Roy Brouwer and María D. de Miguel

Running ahead in the nanotechnology gold rush. Strategic patenting in emerging technologies pp. 194-207

Federico Munari and Laura Toschi

Volume 82, issue C, 2014

Developing human capital and research capacity: Science policies promoting brain gain pp. 6-22

Manuel Heitor, Hugo Horta and Joana Mendonça

Exploring regional futures: Lessons from Metropolitan Chicago's online MetroQuest pp. 23-33

Susanna Haas Lyons, Mike Walsh, Erin Aleman and John Robinson

A world population growth model: Interaction with Earth's carrying capacity and technology in limited space pp. 34-41

Rein Taagepera

Social innovation: Moving the field forward. A conceptual framework pp. 42-51

Giovany Cajaiba-Santana

Driving forces of technological change: The relation between population growth and technological innovation pp. 52-65

Mario Coccia

Technological barriers and research trends in fuel cell technologies: A citation network analysis pp. 66-79

Jonathan C. Ho, Ewe-Chai Saw, Louis Y.Y. Lu and John S. Liu

The role of the complementary sector and its relationship with network formation and government policies in emerging sectors: The case of solar photovoltaics between 2001 and 2009 pp. 80-94

Hyundo Choi and Laura Díaz Anadón

Future structural developments in Dutch and German livestock production and implications for contagious livestock disease control pp. 95-114

G.E. Hop, M.C.M. Mourits, Alfons Oude Lansink and H.W. Saatkamp

Collaborative networks and technology clusters — The case of nanowire pp. 115-131

Sercan Ozcan and Nazrul Islam

The emergence of the outsourcing market and product technological performance pp. 132-139

Shihping Kevin Huang

The inner circle of technology innovation: A case study of two Chinese firms pp. 140-148

Connie Zheng

Intelligent Transport Systems: The propensity for environmental and economic benefits pp. 149-166

Susan Grant-Muller and Mark Usher

How relational capital mediates the effect of corporate reputation on competitive advantage: Evidence from Taiwan high-tech industry pp. 167-176

Chao-Hung Wang

Identifying and forecasting the reverse salient in video game consoles: A performance gap ratio comparative analysis pp. 177-189

Tugrul Daim, Jay Justice, Liliya Hogaboam, Saku J. Mäkinen and Ozgur Dedehayir

Removing the blinders: A literature review on the potential of nanoscale technologies for the management of supply chains pp. 190-198

Marcus Bowles and Jianjun Lu

The rise of the “innosumer”—Rethinking older technology users pp. 199-214

Alexander Peine, Ingo Rollwagen and Louis Neven

Volume 81, issue C, 2014

Chip design in China and India: Multinationals, industry structure and development outcomes in the integrated circuit industry pp. 1-10

Douglas B. Fuller

Observing regional divergence of Chinese nanotechnology centers pp. 11-21

Yasuyuki Motoyama, Cong Cao and Richard Appelbaum

Big Pharma, little science? pp. 22-38

Ismael Rafols, Michael M. Hopkins, Jarno Hoekman, Josh Siepel, Alice O'Hare, Antonio Perianes-Rodríguez and Paul Nightingale

Four dimensional Science and Technology planning: A new approach based on bibliometrics and technology roadmapping pp. 39-48

Lu Huang, Yi Zhang, Ying Guo, Donghua Zhu and Alan L. Porter

Predicting highly cited papers: A Method for Early Detection of Candidate Breakthroughs pp. 49-55

Ilya V. Ponomarev, Duane E. Williams, Charles J. Hackett, Joshua D. Schnell and Laurel L. Haak

Learning to play the game: Student publishing as an indicator of future scholarly success pp. 56-66

Diogo Pinheiro, Julia Melkers and Jan Youtie

Visualizing geo-spatial data in science, technology and innovation pp. 67-81

Jan H. Kwakkel, Stephen Carley, John Chase and Scott W. Cunningham

A study of the method using search traffic to analyze new technology adoption pp. 82-95

Seung-Pyo Jun, Jaeho Yeom and Jong-Ku Son

Learning pathways for energy supply technologies: Bridging between innovation studies and learning rates pp. 96-114

Mark Winskel, Nils Markusson, Henry Jeffrey, Chiara Candelise, Geoff Dutton, Paul Howarth, Sophie Jablonski, Christos Kalyvas and David Ward

Spaces for sustainable innovation: Solar photovoltaic electricity in the UK pp. 115-130

Adrian Smith, Florian Kern, Rob Raven and Bram Verhees

Scaffolding, software and scenarios: Applying Bruner's learning theory to energy scenario development with the public pp. 131-142

Paul Upham, Sebastian Carney and Rita Klapper

Diffusion of nuclear energy in some developing countries pp. 143-153

Alessandra Dalla Valle and Claudia Furlan

How competitive forces sustain electric vehicle development pp. 154-164

Joeri Wesseling, J. Faber and M.P. Hekkert

A methodology to compute emission projections from road transport (EmiTRANS) pp. 165-176

Julio Lumbreras, Rafael Borge, Alberto Guijarro, Jose M. Lopez and M. Encarnacion Rodríguez

Decarbonizing road freight in the future — Detailed scenarios of the carbon emissions of Finnish road freight transport in 2030 using a Delphi method approach pp. 177-191

Heikki Liimatainen, Erika Kallionpää, Markus Pöllänen, Pekka Stenholm, Petri Tapio and Alan McKinnon

Resolving or managing uncertainties for carbon capture and storage: Lessons from historical analogues pp. 192-204

Jim Watson, Florian Kern and Nils Markusson

Long-term global water projections using six socioeconomic scenarios in an integrated assessment modeling framework pp. 205-226

Mohamad Hejazi, James Edmonds, Leon Clarke, Page Kyle, Evan Davies, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Marshall Wise, Pralit Patel, Jiyong Eom, Katherine Calvin, Richard Moss and Son Kim

Analysing the past and exploring the future of sustainable biomass. Participatory stakeholder dialogue and technological innovation systems research pp. 227-235

Sylvia Breukers, Matthijs Hisschemöller, Eefje Cuppen and Roald Suurs

Forecasting technological change in agriculture—An endogenous implementation in a global land use model pp. 236-249

Jan Philipp Dietrich, Christoph Schmitz, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Alexander Popp and Christoph Müller

Capturing waste recycling science pp. 250-258

Gaizka Garechana, Rosa Rio-Belver, Ernesto Cilleruelo and Javier Gavilanes-Trapote

Strategic change in the forest industry towards the biorefining business pp. 259-271

Annukka Näyhä and Hanna-Leena Pesonen

Assessing the relative importance of multiple channels for embodied and disembodied technological spillovers pp. 272-286

Sorin Krammer

Selection bias in innovation studies: A simple test pp. 287-299

Gaétan de Rassenfosse, Anja Schoen and Annelies Wastyn

Revisiting the productivity paradox: A semiparametric smooth coefficient approach based on evidence from Taiwan pp. 300-308

Ting-Kun Liu, Jong-Rong Chen, Cliff J. Huang and Chih-Hai Yang

Standard wars, tied standards, and network externality induced path dependence in the ICT sector pp. 309-320

Torsten Heinrich

Predicting the subscribers of fixed-line and cellular phone in Japan by a novel prediction model pp. 321-330

Guo-Dong Li, Shiro Masuda and Masatake Nagai

Building exploration and exploitation in the high-tech industry: The role of relationship learning pp. 331-340

Chao-Hung Wang and Li-Chang Hsu

Option game with Poisson Jump Process in company radical technological innovation pp. 341-350

You Daming, Yang Xiaohui, Desheng Dash Wu and Chen Guofan

Mind the gap pp. 351-362

Victor Gilsing, Wim Vanhaverbeke and Michiel Pieters

Positioning and shifting of technology focus for integrated device manufacturers by patent perspectives pp. 363-375

Yung-Ta Li, Mu-Hsuan Huang and Dar-Zen Chen

The impact of technology intermediaries on firm cognitive capacity additionality pp. 376-387

Mirjam Knockaert, Andre Spithoven and Bart Clarysse

Knowledge dynamics and sources of eco-innovation: Mapping the Green Chemistry community pp. 388-402

Marianna Epicoco, Vanessa Oltra and Jean Maïder Saint