Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2027

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 234, issue C, 2027

From standards to patent pools: SEP-owner heterogeneity and the staged formation of collective licensing

Karen Ruckman, Nilesh Saraf and Reza Shams

The geography of green entrepreneurship: Regional capabilities and the rise of new green technology-based firms

Federico Colozza and Francesco Lelli

Co-creating responsible AI for public safety: A mixed-method approach toward understanding stakeholder perceptions

Babak Rahimi Ardabli, Armin Danesh Pazho, Jeri Guido, Philip Otienobru, Jason Windett, Shannon Reid and Hamed Tabkhi

Unveiling the dynamics of data driven innovation in human resource analytics: A grounded theory of strategic approach to HRM

Mona Kardani Malekinezhad, Fariborz Rahimnia, Ghasem Eslami and Mohammad Mahdi Farahi

The more the better? The nonlinear innovation effect of the big data policy

Weiwei Wu, Ruicong Xiao, Deyun Yin, Jiaxin Fu and Bo Yu

Shaping sustainable investment through digital technologies: Strategic perspectives for the transformation era

Foued Saâdaoui and Hana Rabbouch

Resolving “pseudo-collaboration”: Optimizing industry-university-research cooperation motif network structures and capabilities to enhance green innovation

Qin Liu, Haoyue Yang, Ruming Chen and Qian Yu

User-designed disclosure, whether fans or consumers: Signaling innovation across technological vs. non-technological contexts

Richard Huaman-Ramirez, Stéphane Salgado and Aranzazu Gaztelumendi

Artificial intelligence and corporate environmental performance: The mediating role of green AI practices and green intellectual capital

Najla Bouebdallah

Capturing the system-level effects of innovation policy: An assessment of publicly funded innovative entrepreneurship in Sweden

Mart Laatsit, Åsa Lindholm Dahlstrand and Magnus Nilsson

From transient shocks to unexpected outcomes: Disruptive drivers in scenario pathways

Andrew G. Ross

Assessing inter-rater agreement among large language model judges: Evidence from persona evaluation across varying educational risk contexts

Danial Amin, Joni Salminen and Bernard J. Jansen

Identifying technological problems and exploring potential solutions to support R&D: Tech-mining with multi-LLM applications

Sanghyun Park, Leehee Kim, Doyoung Park and Sungjoo Lee

Discovering early signals of technological opportunities: Insights from interdisciplinary innovation

Ru Yao, Yu Wu, Zhijie Hu, Jinming Wu, Hui Zhang, Jingjuan Zhao, Qiao Lin and Xuefu Zhang

Finding green start-ups at scale: Automating selection through Natural Language Processing algorithms

Stefano Bianchini, Alessandra Colombelli, Baptiste Le Masle, Chiara Ravetti and Matteo Tubiana

Health app adoption among older adults: A multi-phase domestication perspective

Xiaoxiang Xu, Martin Lockett and Boying Li

How incentive mechanisms affect the dynamic internalization of low-carbon behavior? A perspective from carbon inclusion platforms

Chunqin Zhang, Xin Yang, Wenbin Yao, Ziyan Jiang, Guangnian Xiao, Xian Liu and Wanru Wang

Inside-out and outside-in: How digital capabilities and environmental dynamism shape AI adoption in SMEs

Kanhaiya K. Sinha, Galina Shirokova and Arsenii Bystrov

Interdisciplinary modelling in support of people-centred transitions: Forecasting citizen adoption of rooftop PV systems under alternative sociopolitical future-world evolutions

Vassilis Stavrakas, Nikos Manias, Diana Süsser and Alexandros Flamos

The politicization of AI semiconductor discourse: A longitudinal analysis of Korean media coverage (2023–2025)

JongHwi Song, SooYeun Yoo and Urtnasan Erdenebayar

Supply chain digitalization and ESG greenwashing: A signal reliability perspective

Fenmian Wang, Wanlin Sun and Hong Zhang

Digital inputs, network position, and global value chains in creative industries

Yonghee Kim

Closing the opportunity gap: Exploring micro-enterprises' behavioral intention to integrate with digital platforms for a broader agri-food system

Xuemei Dong, Guoqun Ma and Feiyu Chen

Exploring the platformization dilemma: How manufacturers leverage digital platforms for service business model innovation

Christian M. Lerch, Djerdj Horvat and Angela Jäger

The AI CEO: A conceptualisation and outline for future research

Justin Sundermann, Ashkan Fredström and Joakim Wincent

More than regulation: How policy mixes shape innovation ecosystems in digital transformation

Guannan Xu, Ning Kang and Xiangwan Zhou

From digital skilling to sustainable performance: How climate entrepreneurship and attitudes toward artificial intelligence shape the future of SME technological transitions

Fazal Ayaz, Chen Guoping, Shah Abbas and Zohaib Hassan

TMT attention to technological innovation and AI invention: Evidence from Chinese listed firms

Xiangpeng Lian and Ying Guo

Volume 233, issue C, 2026

Dual pathways to trust in AI: How competence-building and affinity-building factors enable employee-AI collaboration

Min Wu, Jovyne Cheo and Kum Fai Yuen

Forever Young? On the technological impact of green startups

Giacomo Roberto Lupi, Francesco Rentocchini and Ugo Rizzo

“Bond. Green bond.” Yet when does green bond issuance truly benefit expected firm performance?

Francesco Cappa, Francesco Fasano, Raffaele Oriani and Samuel Vigne

Value creation, value capture, and economic growth: Revisiting the innovation–economic growth relationship and implications for sustainable technologies and AI

Leo Schmallenbach and Karin Hoisl

Regulators as innovation enablers: Social capital and the central bank of Ireland's innovation sandbox

Eamon Leonard, Barry Sheehan, Martin Mullins and Darren Shannon

Latent until directed: How regulatory science activates innovation capacity to shape corporate green tilt

Hanbin Zhu, Yiyun Ge and Shubin Wang

How changes in autonomy-supportive managerial practices affect job satisfaction in teleworking

Angélique Breuillot, Rachel Bocquet and Nicolas Poussing

Developing a conceptual framework for digital health engagement: Insights from a hybrid review and qualitative validation

Akarsh Mohapatra, Subhajit Bhattacharya and Siddharth Misra

Backcasting: An innovative approach to conflict management for transformative innovation projects

Giulia Volpini

When p=0: Governance failure and pure social diffusion in rivalrous technology adoption

Tarek Gasmi, Ramzi Guesmi, Slim Ben Abdelbari and Ghaith Hammami

Public procurement for social innovation: Building a collaboration logic through interactive spaces

Matti Pihlajamaa, Anton Sigfrids and Tiina Tuominen

Leveraging AI technology innovation for disaster risk reduction and resilience: Examining the mechanisms of financial development, globalization, and institutional quality

Emmanuel Baffour Gyau, Daniel Adu, Michael Appiah and Seidu Musah

Tail-driven asymmetries in sustainable finance: SMEs, ESG, and energy innovation under market stress

Amine Lahiani, Salma Mefteh-Wali and Nada Mselmi

The power of benevolence: A multilevel examination of how and when socially responsible human resource management shapes team responsible innovation

Hanqiu Zhu, Fuqiang Zhao, Jun Liu and Yun Chen

Fiscal monitoring policy and corporate R&D productivity

Mohamed Shaker Ahmed and Timothy King

A person-centric dynamic view of responsible AI use: The role of behavioral signatures in supply chains

Shuang Ren

How digital orientation can help hospitals manage the performance implications of an ethnically diversifying workforce: Panel evidence from the English NHS

Thomas Reibel, Susan Stead, David Antons and Torsten-Oliver Salge

Driverless, not thoughtless? Automated vehicle regulation, the dilemma of control, and the prospect of dual corrigibility

Bård Torvetjønn Haugland

Shifting and balancing under uncertainty: Ambidextrous leadership of digital strategies in the museums sector

Alessandro Merendino and Maureen Meadows

Complementary or conflicting? Dynamic capabilities and technological innovation in digital–green twin transformation

Hsien-Chen Lo and Tung-Fei Tsai-Lin

Profit first, cash later? Is the low ESG commitment in early-stage ventures just a money problem?

Xiaowei Yang, Antonio D'Amato, Maria Teresa Cuomo and Armando Papa

Theodore J. Gordon (1930–2024): A visionary life spanning the cosmos and the future of humanity

Simone Di Zio

Mapping the strategic salience of renewable energy market demand and smart grid technologies for future marketization: A method combining LLM and GNN

Wenzhi Liu, Xiaofeng Xu, Peng Qi, Lean Yu, Xiujie Wu and Hongyu Jin

Employee stock ownership plans and the capitalization of R&D expenditures

Sabri Boubaker, Jing Du, Rui Xu and Mengmeng Jiang

Reconciling innovation and sustainability through the Triple Helix Twins: A coopetition perspective

Aveline Cloitre and Victor Dos Santos Paulino

Industrial robot adoption and environmental sustainability: Technological and institutional pathways to sustainable development

Arshian Sharif, Muhammad Nouman Shafiq, Seemab Gillani, Iman Harymawan and Suham Cahyono

Total interpretive structural modeling of UAV adoption in middle- and last-mile logistics: A sociotechnical systems perspective

Federico Barbieri, Claudia Colicchia, Eric H. Grosse, Marco Lovera and Alessandro Creazza

The influence of boardroom gender diversity on business innovation strategies intensity, scalability and firms' performance: New evidence from the United States

Wei Wu, Fadi Alkaraan, Chau Le, Yulu Shi, V.G. Venkatesh and Yangyan Shi