Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 221, issue C, 2025

Discovering firm technology opportunities by machine learning prediction method based on firm's technology portfolio

Runbo Zhao, Wanying Wei and Zijian Zhu

Toward open-source foundation model ecosystem: Impact evaluation framework and promotion mechanism

Jincheng Shi and Shan Jiang

Tackling the empowerment of Artificial Intelligence for humanitarian intervention from Save the Children

Veronica Scuotto, Kingsley Obi Omeihe, Valentina Cillo and Del Giudice Manlio

Can digitalization of inclusive finance promote innovation of small and medium-sized enterprises? A quasi-natural experiment approach

Dong Xiang, Tingting Tian and Jiangli Yu

Unraveling risk dynamics in the urban food-energy-water system for sustainable management: A coupled model considering trivariate complexity

Xinqing Li, Lixiao Zhang, Aidong Yang, Yan Hao, Pengpeng Zhang, Xin Xiong, Yuqin Li and Zijie Zhang

Public sector development and entrepreneurial initiatives for improving circular economy performance: Government policy and digital transformation initiatives as moderators

Manpreet Rajpal, Bindu Singh, Sheshadri Chatterjee and Uthayasankar Sivarajah

Sustainable circular economy: Unpacking the unintended consequences of digital transformation in Japanese SMEs

Leanne Chung, Kim Hua Tan and Osamu Yoshie

Smart treaties: A path to binding agreements in international relations?

Niklas V. Lehmann

Birthplace diversity of immigrants and technological novelty: Unpacking the internal structure of diversity

Wenwan Jin, Yongyuan Huang and Shengjun Zhu

How does digital platform capability affect digital innovation? Evidence from manufacturing SMEs in China

Zhou Huiping and Zan Ao

Aligning digital strategy and resources to create Healthcare 4.0 organizations: Implications for smart operations and smart working

Lucas Miguel Alencar de Morais Correia, Paulo Renato de Sousa and Alejandro G. Frank

Supporting the digital transformation journey through monitoring systems in healthcare. A comparative analysis of European empirical approaches through an adaptation of the IPOO framework

Alessandro Vinci, Andrea Vandelli, Alessia Caputo and Milena Vainieri

Avatar anthropomorphism continuum: A blockchain-based data analysis of avatar skin purchases in the metaverse

Karina Sokolova and Charles Perez

Responsible artificial intelligence (AI) for responsible innovation in Chinese manufacturing: From the affordance–actualization theory

Dandan Ye, Ruizhi Yuan, Jun Luo, Martin J. Liu and Natalia Yannopoulou

Discursively negotiating AI: A social representation theory approach to LLM-based chatbots

Federico Mangiò, Giuseppe Pedeliento, Philipp Wassler and Nigel Williams

We are inspired: How augmented reality empowers cultural communication through self-authenticity and subjective well-being

Shuang Chen, Bin Li and Qi Zhou

Digital innovation as strategic response: How CEO with informal power deal with inconsistent performance feedback

Weiwei Wu, Xue Li, Yexin Liu and Yanggi Kim

Beyond technology: A socio-technical lens on Industry 4.0 value-adding across industries

Abel Duarte Alonso, Oanh Thi Kim Vu, Trung Q. Nguyen, Robert McClelland, Ngan M. Nguyen, Hoa Thi Ngoc Huynh, Mohammadreza Akbari and Trung Thanh Nguyen

A hierarchical framework for addressing innovation resistance to ICT adoption in older adults: A case study of safety alarm systems

Ming-Hao Chang, Jian-Yu Lian, Pi-Shan Sung and Peng-Ting Chen

Blockchain-powered drone deliveries: Embedded governance mechanisms for reducing uncertainty and enhancing consumer behavioral intentions

Khizar Hayat, Qingyu Zhang, Maria Jose Sousa, Mudassir Husnain and Khuram Shahzad

Stakeholder involvement in industry-level technology roadmapping: A political perspective

Edwin J. Nijssen, Swagata Chakraborty and Rianne Valkenburg

A novel application of flow theory to mobile augmented reality

Lu Xu, Hong Qin, Mohammad Rajon Meah and Jerald Hughes

Can dual-pilot policy of innovative city and carbon trading promote carbon productivity? Empirical evidence from dual-pilot city in China

Yao Qin, Hongmei Zhang and Wei Liang

Green strategic intent, artificial intelligence capability and behavioral dynamics of achieving circular economy goals in the public sector

Nadia Zahoor, Muhammad Usman, Adeel Khalid, Mohamed Gamal Aboelmaged and Naveed Yasin

Harnessing the dimensions of supply chain collaboration to promote innovation and flexibility in buyer-supplier relationships: Insights from fsQCA and NCA

Innocent Senyo Kwasi Acquah, Micheline Juliana Naude and Nnamdi Oguji

How the Metaverse reshapes new venture emergence

Sima Sajadi, Yabo Octave Niamie and Fabiano Armellini

Press to pay: The power of biometrics in financial transactions investigated by PLS-SEM, fsQCA, and NCA

Francisco Liébana-Cabanillas, Ghazanfar Ali Abbasi, Elena Higueras-Castillo and Ralf Wagner

How digital transformation facilitates ESG performance to heavy polluting enterprises:A panel fsQCA based on national big data comprehensive pilot zones

Li Jing, Li Qianqiang, Chen Yantai and An Qi

Using social media for opportunity exploration in social enterprises: Sensemaking and signaling perspectives

Dhruba Borah, Jihye Kim and Nicolas Li

Do multinational technology alliances promote enterprises' innovation quality or quantity in emerging markets? - evidence from China

Jingjing Li, Xianming Wu and Victor Cui

Forecasting inclusive futures: Fintech, capability expansion, and livelihood pathways in urban Indian slums – A mixed-methods analysis

Jaskirat Singh, Gurdip Singh Batra and Sarvjeet Kaur

Global online shopping as a catalyst for intercultural sensitivity: Evidence from 69 countries

Zeren Yu, Mengying Gong, Jinyu Wang and Zhenzhen Zuo

Volume 220, issue C, 2025

Forecasting the adoption of decontamination robots in the COVID era

Angel Contreras Cruz, Kelly Cowan, Ashwaq Al Khalil, Aynur Kirbac and Ozgul Ayyildiz

How configurations of legitimacy shape directionality in technological innovation systems: The case of plant-based meat alternatives in Sweden

Helena Fornstedt, Thomas Taro Lennerfors, Johnn Andersson and Paul Plummer

Corrigendum to “Predicting the core determinants of cloud-edge computing adoption (CECA) for sustainable development in the higher education institutions of Africa: A high order SEM-ANN analytical approach” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 199 (2024) 1–17 (122979)]

Kamal Kant Hiran and Manish Dadhich

Achieving inclusive digital development: A frugal strategy based on lessons from three West African smallholder agriculture value chains

Nicolas Paget, Mariette McCampbell, Baba Ba, Moussa Bamba, Jean-Daniel Cesaro, Serena Ferrari, Martin Notaro, Florent Okry, Camille Richebourg and Pascal Bonnet

Strategic scenarios for the digitalisation of chronic disease care management: A 10-year foresight case study in Lisbon's primary healthcare setting

Mariana Peyroteo and Luís Velez Lapão

Regional CO2 emission efficiency in China and configurational paths for improvement

Jiawei Li, Zhiyi Qiu, Fangqing Wei and Jingwei Liang

“Assessment of circular economy strategies for climate change mitigation”: A forecast on India's path to a net zero future

Thakur Singh Kharayat and Himanshu Gupta

Exploring user acceptance of physical intelligent assistants: A study on AI-powered eyewear

Ben Niu and Gustave Florentin Nkoulou Mvondo

How robot application empowers industrial low-carbon development: A study based on the perspective of carbon reduction and efficiency enhancement

Shan Wang, Haiqian Chen and Donghua Yu

Financing sustainable farming: The role of trust in the adoption of fintech by farmers

Max Antonius Köster, William Hurst and Caspar Krampe

Drivers and barriers of AI adoption and use in scientific research

Stefano Bianchini, Moritz Müller and Pierre Pelletier

Mapping public perception of artificial intelligence: Expectations, risk–benefit tradeoffs, and value as determinants for societal acceptance

Philipp Brauner, Felix Glawe, Gian Luca Liehner, Luisa Vervier and Martina Ziefle

Impact of e-waste regulations on firms' R&D and marketing expenditures: Insights for a circular economy

Ashutosh Singh, Ankit Mehrotra, Rsha Alghafes and Jasmine Mohsen

Did the main functional area planning promote green development in China?

Zihao Ma and Pingdan Zhang

Experience curve analyses for green hydrogen technology development

Saheed Bello and David Reiner

Linkage mechanism of antecedents for employees' continuous adoption of artificial intelligence virtual assistants

Xi-xi Zhang and Xing-lin Hao

Carbon taxes vs. cap-and-trade: Do policy choices influence enterprise emissions dynamics and strategic responses?

Ke Jiang, Liping Xu and Jiaming Zhang

Unpacking the decision-making evolution mechanism of governance actors towards smart municipal solid waste (MSW) management: an insight from game approach

Xinyu Hao, Tingting Tian, Kaiqin Li, Xiaoling Zhang and Liang Dong

A system dynamics-based comprehensive investment benefit and carbon reduction evaluation for CCUS-EOR projects

Xiaorong Sun, Xiangxiang Zhao, Lichen Gu, Chenhao Jin, Xueping Pan and Shinae Jang

When things fall apart: Exploring brand hate in influencer endorsements

Yan-Rong Pan, Garry Wei-Han Tan, Eugene Cheng-Xi Aw and Keng-Boon Ooi

Customer behavior in the presence of algorithmic marketing agents: The role of hedonic values

Alvaro Chacon, Carolina Martínez-Troncoso and Edgar Kausel

Mitigating liabilities of foreignness in migrant entrepreneurship: The role of AI in building virtual embeddedness

Stoyan Stoyanov and Veselina Stoyanova

Deploying explainable AI in entrepreneurial organizations: Role of the human-AI interface

Sanjay Chaudhary, Ashraf Khalil, Rekha Attri and Peter Ractham

A data-driven approach to establishing a patent strategy by generating a patent map based on generative topographic mapping

Jaehoon Jung, Sunhye Kim and Byungun Yoon

The fear of being replaced by generative AI: An examination of influential factors among office workers

Hyeon Jo and Do-Hyung Park

AI integration for climate risk mitigation: The role of organizational context

Muhammad Kaleem Khan, Muhammad Jameel Hussain, Muhammad Wasim Hussan, Afifa Qadeer, Anona Armstrong and Shanshan Li

Understanding mass-market electric vehicle adoption: Integrating diffusion of innovation theory with risk mitigation strategy in Germany

Ellen Enkel and Sander Wintgens

Metaverse as content or container? Exploring the future of customer experience in tourism

Michele Simoni, Annarita Sorrentino and Luca Venturini