Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

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Volume 87, issue C, 2014

Co-evolution of legal and voluntary standards: Development of energy efficiency in Swiss residential building codes pp. 1-16

Stefan N. Groesser

The role of social support on relationship quality and social commerce pp. 17-27

M. Nick Hajli

Responsible innovators: open networks on the way to sustainability transitions pp. 28-40

Marina van Geenhuizen and Qing Ye

Analysis of European mobility surveys and their potential to support studies on the impact of electric vehicles on energy and infrastructure needs in Europe pp. 41-50

Guzay Pasaoglu, Alyona Zubaryeva, Davide Fiorello and Christian Thiel

Travel patterns and the potential use of electric cars – Results from a direct survey in six European countries pp. 51-59

Guzay Pasaoglu, D. Fiorello, A. Martino, L. Zani, A. Zubaryeva and C. Thiel

The organisation of Corporate Foresight: A multiple case study in the telecommunication industry pp. 60-79

Cinzia Battistella

Analyzing the factors that affect the adoption of mobile services in Taiwan pp. 80-88

Lon-Fon Shieh, Tien-Hsiang Chang, Hsin-Pin Fu, Sheng-Wei Lin and Ying-Yen Chen

The economics of the light economy pp. 89-107

Cristiano Antonelli and Claudio Fassio

Innovation and cost reduction for marine renewable energy: A learning investment sensitivity analysis pp. 108-124

Andrew MacGillivray, Henry Jeffrey, Mark Winskel and Ian Bryden

Measuring technological trends: A comparison between U.S. and U.S.S.R./Russian jet fighter aircraft pp. 125-134

Anelí Bongers and Jose Torres

Four harmonic cycles explain and predict commodity currencies' wide long term fluctuations pp. 135-151

Elias Sanidas

How unlearning affects radical innovation: The dynamics of social capital and slack resources pp. 152-163

Kuo-Pin Yang, Christine Chou and Yu-Jen Chiu

Car and the city: Socio-technical transition pathways to 2030 pp. 164-178

Gerardo Marletto

The power of grid parity: A discursive approach pp. 179-190

L.A. Hurtado Munoz, J.C.C.M. Huijben, B. Verhees and G.P.J. Verbong

UK bioenergy innovation priorities: Making expectations credible in state-industry arenas pp. 191-204

Les Levidow, Alexander Borda-Rodriguez and Theo Papaioannou

Scenarios for the second generation ethanol in Brazil pp. 205-223

Ricardo Raele, João Mauricio Gama Boaventura, Adalberto Américo Fischmann and Greici Sarturi

The prediction for Japan's domestic and overseas automobile production pp. 224-231

Guo-Dong Li, Shiro Masuda and Masatake Nagai

Drivers of technology adoption — the case of nanomaterials in building construction pp. 232-244

Sanjay K. Arora, Rider W. Foley, Jan Youtie, Philip Shapira and Arnim Wiek

Planning innovation orientation in public research and development organizations: Using a combined Delphi and Analytic Hierarchy Process approach pp. 245-256

Pawadee Meesapawong, Yacine Rezgui and Haijiang Li

Modelling the transition towards a green economy in South Africa pp. 257-273

Josephine K. Musango, Alan C. Brent and Andrea M. Bassi

Beyond the veil — The real value of Foresight pp. 274-291

Effie Amanatidou

The prioritization and verification of IT emerging technologies using an analytic hierarchy process and cluster analysis pp. 292-304

Sangjae Lee, Wanki Kim, Young Min Kim, Hyoung Yong Lee and Kyong Joo Oh

Downscaling long term socio-economic scenarios at city scale: A case study on Paris pp. 305-324

Vincent Viguié, Stéphane Hallegatte and Julie Rozenberg

Volume 86, issue C, 2014

Policy instruments for public procurement of innovation: Choice, design and assessment pp. 1-12

Luke Georghiou, Jakob Edler, Elvira Uyarra and Jillian Yeow

Group social capital in virtual teaming contexts: A moderating role of positive affective tone in knowledge sharing pp. 13-20

Yuan-Hui Tsai, Hwa-Chun Ma, Chieh-Peng Lin, Chou-Kang Chiu and Shwu-Chuan Chen

Experience from downscaling IPCC-SRES scenarios to specific national-level focus scenarios for ecosystem service management pp. 21-32

A. Walz, J.M. Braendle, D.J. Lang, F. Brand, S. Briner, C. Elkin, C. Hirschi, R. Huber, H. Lischke and D.R. Schmatz

Modelling seasonality in innovation diffusion pp. 33-40

Mariangela Guidolin and Renato Guseo

Performance comparison of two diffusion models in a saturated mobile phone market pp. 41-48

Byeong-Yun Chang, Xu Li and Yun Bae Kim

Pre-launch new product demand forecasting using the Bass model: A statistical and machine learning-based approach pp. 49-64

Hakyeon Lee, Sang Gook Kim, Hyun-woo Park and Pilsung Kang

The influence of national culture on the attitude towards mobile recommender systems pp. 65-79

Jaewon Choi, Hong Joo Lee, Farhana Sajjad and Habin Lee

Understanding the determinants of electronic supply chain management system adoption: Using the technology–organization–environment framework pp. 80-92

Hsiu-Fen Lin

Caught in the Web? Addictive behavior in cyberspace and the role of goal-orientation pp. 93-109

Stuart J. Barnes and Andrew D. Pressey

Demographic patterns and trends in patenting: Gender, age, and education of inventors pp. 110-124

Taehyun Jung and Olof Ejermo

How to forecast cross-border patent infringement? — The case of U.S. international trade pp. 125-131

Pei-Chun Lee and Hsin-Ning Su

Rotational symmetry and the transformation of innovation systems in a Triple Helix of university–industry–government relations pp. 143-156

Inga Ivanova and Loet Leydesdorff

Water planning: From what Time Perspective? pp. 157-167

Segrave, A.J. (Andrew), (Mariëlle) van der Zouwen, M.W. and (Wim) van Vierssen, W.

Oil shale and climate policy in the shift to a low carbon and more resilient economy pp. 168-176

D. Pasqualini and A.M. Bassi

Energy technology expert elicitations: An application to natural gas turbine efficiencies pp. 177-187

John Bistline

Assessing organisational capacity for transition policy programs pp. 188-206

J.J. Bos and R.R. Brown

A Spatial version of the Shang method pp. 207-215

Simone Di Zio and Barbara Staniscia

Definition and exploitation of trends of evolution about interaction pp. 216-236

S. Filippi and D. Barattin

The possibility of using search traffic information to explore consumer product attitudes and forecast consumer preference pp. 237-253

Seung-Pyo Jun, Do-Hyung Park and Jaeho Yeom

Rethinking the 2×2 scenario method: Grid or frames? pp. 254-264

Rafael Ramirez and Angela Wilkinson

Investigating the impact of highway electronic toll collection to the external cost: A case study in Taiwan pp. 265-272

Po-Hsing Tseng, Dung-Ying Lin and Steven Chien

Fixed voice telephony in economies of different sizes: When industry policy meets technological change pp. 273-286

Pavlos C. Symeou and Michael Pollitt

Exploring technological opportunities by linking technology and products: Application of morphology analysis and text mining pp. 287-303

Byungun Yoon, Inchae Park and Byoung-youl Coh

Volume 85, issue C, 2014

Determinants of quadic patenting: Market access, imitative threat, competition and strength of intellectual property rights pp. 4-16

Can Huang and Jojo Jacob

Signs of things to come? What patent submissions by small and medium-sized enterprises say about corporate strategies in emerging technologies pp. 17-25

Luciano Kay, Jan Youtie and Philip Shapira

“Term clumping” for technical intelligence: A case study on dye-sensitized solar cells pp. 26-39

Yi Zhang, Alan L. Porter, Zhengyin Hu, Ying Guo and Nils C. Newman

Evaluation and design of innovation policies in the agro-food sector: An application of multilevel self-regulating agents pp. 40-57

Dimitri Gagliardi, Francesco Niglia and Cinzia Battistella

International scientific collaboration between Australia and China: A mixed-methodology for investigating the social processes and its implications for national innovation systems pp. 58-68

Xiao Si Niu

Serial and comparative analysis of innovation policy change pp. 69-80

Marja-Liisa Niinikoski and Johanna Moisander

The influence of information and communication technology (ICT) on future foresight processes — Results from a Delphi survey pp. 81-92

Jonas Keller and Heiko A. von der Gracht

Probing “green” industry enterprises in the UK: A new identification approach pp. 93-104

Philip Shapira, Abdullah Gök, Evgeny Klochikhin and Marianne Sensier

Surface- and deep-level diversity in panel selection — Exploring diversity effects on response behaviour in foresight pp. 105-120

Alexander Spickermann, Martin Zimmermann and Heiko A. von der Gracht

The needs of society: A new understanding of transitions, sustainability and liveability pp. 121-132

Fjalar J. de Haan, Briony C. Ferguson, Rachelle C. Adamowicz, Phillip Johnstone, Rebekah R. Brown and Tony H.F. Wong

Comment on de Haan et al., “The Needs of Society” pp. 133-133

Govert Geldof

Collaborative foresight: Complementing long-horizon strategic planning pp. 134-152

Kirk Weigand, Thomas Flanagan, Kevin Dye and Peter Jones

Agent-based simulation of policy induced diffusion of smart meters pp. 153-167

Martin Rixen and Jürgen Weigand

Effects on diversity of R&D sources and human capital on industrial performance pp. 168-184

Jun-You Lin

Improving industrial R&D practices with social and ethical aspects: Aligning key performance indicators with social and ethical aspects in food technology R&D pp. 185-197

Steven M. Flipse, Maarten C.A. van der Sanden and Patricia Osseweijer

A fuzzy AHP to prioritize enabling factors for strategic management of university business incubators: Resource-based view pp. 198-210

Nisakorn Somsuk and Tritos Laosirihongthong